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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.60+6.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+3.68vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.89+7.01vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.42+4.11vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.45-0.31vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.94+0.60vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42+1.64vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.59-0.23vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.80-0.54vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.95-3.58vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.70-3.24vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.72-1.37vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.09-3.58vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.27-5.57vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.59vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Roger Williams University1.607.0%1st Place
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5.68Brown University2.2211.9%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College0.893.5%1st Place
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8.11Fordham University1.426.2%1st Place
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4.69Harvard University2.4515.2%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University1.949.4%1st Place
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8.64University of Rhode Island1.424.3%1st Place
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7.77Yale University1.596.4%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island1.805.1%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College1.958.6%1st Place
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7.76Yale University1.707.8%1st Place
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10.63SUNY Maritime College0.722.9%1st Place
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9.42Connecticut College1.093.6%1st Place
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8.43George Washington University1.275.3%1st Place
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14.41Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.7%1st Place
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11.34Salve Regina University0.972.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Mason Stang | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 6.3% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Robby Meek | 15.2% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Henry Lee | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Declan Botwinick | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alex Adams | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 7.0% |
| Duncan Craine | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 3.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 11.6% | 63.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 19.6% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.