Race 7A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Colin MURPHY 20.2% 20.6% 17.1% 11.6% 9.8% 8.6% 6.2% 3.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nate Jermain 19.7% 18.7% 16.7% 15.8% 9.9% 9.2% 4.6% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John McGlynn 9.0% 9.7% 12.6% 10.9% 13.8% 10.5% 11.3% 8.7% 6.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Lubliner 4.7% 6.4% 8.8% 8.7% 9.5% 12.0% 12.0% 10.5% 10.5% 7.8% 4.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
Alex Gatto 1.8% 2.6% 1.8% 3.7% 6.2% 5.2% 5.9% 7.9% 10.6% 12.6% 13.1% 12.6% 10.9% 5.1%
Michael Rottier 4.5% 4.2% 4.6% 7.2% 7.9% 9.6% 13.1% 11.4% 9.0% 11.7% 7.8% 6.3% 1.9% 0.8%
Alex Reynolds 6.0% 5.3% 7.1% 8.3% 9.1% 9.4% 11.4% 10.7% 11.6% 7.7% 7.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
Adrija Navarro 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 2.0% 2.4% 3.3% 2.7% 3.9% 4.4% 7.2% 9.4% 14.4% 22.7% 24.3%
Jakub Tyczynski 2.3% 2.1% 2.0% 2.2% 3.4% 4.5% 5.9% 6.6% 10.6% 11.9% 15.0% 14.0% 12.0% 7.5%
Jack Pinnell 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 1.7% 2.7% 3.3% 5.3% 8.8% 12.1% 20.4% 39.6%
Evan Voliakis 1.1% 1.6% 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 2.6% 4.3% 5.8% 7.3% 7.9% 11.4% 17.1% 19.0% 17.7%
Andrew Murphy 2.2% 2.6% 3.2% 4.3% 4.8% 7.0% 7.0% 10.7% 12.0% 11.1% 13.1% 10.5% 8.1% 3.4%
John Croll 4.8% 5.1% 5.8% 7.6% 7.6% 10.5% 10.4% 13.2% 10.1% 10.2% 6.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.8%
Willem Sandberg 22.0% 19.3% 17.0% 15.2% 12.6% 6.3% 3.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.