Race 8A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Willem Sandberg 22.5% 22.0% 14.9% 12.1% 10.3% 8.4% 4.3% 2.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nate Jermain 21.8% 17.9% 16.7% 15.0% 11.5% 7.6% 4.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John McGlynn 9.4% 10.1% 10.6% 12.7% 13.4% 11.7% 11.7% 6.6% 6.8% 4.7% 1.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Scott Lubliner 4.8% 7.0% 8.8% 8.8% 10.2% 10.4% 12.5% 10.9% 7.8% 9.0% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
Colin MURPHY 16.6% 20.1% 18.7% 13.5% 11.9% 8.1% 5.1% 3.4% 1.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 4.8% 5.2% 5.4% 7.4% 8.0% 11.1% 11.3% 10.4% 10.2% 10.1% 8.7% 4.7% 2.6% 0.1%
Alex Gatto 2.3% 2.6% 2.9% 5.2% 4.9% 6.4% 6.7% 8.3% 11.7% 10.7% 13.1% 11.6% 9.8% 3.8%
Michael Rottier 5.1% 4.4% 6.9% 7.1% 9.0% 8.7% 8.7% 11.8% 10.3% 11.5% 7.1% 6.0% 2.3% 1.1%
John Croll 5.5% 3.3% 5.6% 6.9% 8.9% 9.1% 13.5% 11.1% 10.7% 10.0% 8.0% 4.6% 2.5% 0.3%
Jakub Tyczynski 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 2.1% 5.9% 6.2% 8.4% 9.9% 10.1% 15.1% 13.6% 12.3% 8.2%
Adrija Navarro 0.7% 1.4% 0.8% 1.6% 1.3% 1.8% 2.6% 3.9% 5.3% 7.5% 8.9% 13.9% 22.0% 28.3%
Jack Pinnell 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.6% 0.9% 1.7% 1.9% 3.1% 2.5% 5.9% 8.5% 12.7% 19.0% 40.5%
Andrew Murphy 3.3% 2.4% 3.8% 4.1% 4.6% 6.7% 7.7% 9.7% 12.8% 11.8% 11.6% 10.2% 8.0% 3.3%
Evan Voliakis 0.7% 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 3.0% 2.4% 3.7% 6.3% 8.3% 6.6% 11.6% 18.4% 19.8% 14.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.