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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.60+6.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+3.74vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.59+4.68vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.95+2.46vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.94+1.59vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42+2.57vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.80+1.24vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.45-3.29vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.27-0.68vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.89-0.09vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97+0.55vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.70-4.22vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.42-4.88vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.09-4.72vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.72-4.17vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Roger Williams University1.606.6%1st Place
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5.74Brown University2.2210.3%1st Place
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7.68Yale University1.596.0%1st Place
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6.46Dartmouth College1.959.0%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University1.948.2%1st Place
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8.57University of Rhode Island1.425.3%1st Place
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8.24University of Rhode Island1.805.1%1st Place
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4.71Harvard University2.4516.0%1st Place
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8.32George Washington University1.275.8%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College0.894.3%1st Place
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11.55Salve Regina University0.972.5%1st Place
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7.78Yale University1.706.3%1st Place
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8.12Fordham University1.426.3%1st Place
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9.28Connecticut College1.094.1%1st Place
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10.83SUNY Maritime College0.723.1%1st Place
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14.58Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Mason Stang | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Henry Lee | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Declan Botwinick | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Robby Meek | 16.0% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 4.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 12.6% |
| Alex Adams | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Duncan Craine | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 7.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.