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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.60+6.63vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.94+4.54vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.27+5.17vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+1.69vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.09+4.32vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.42+2.35vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.80+1.34vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.59-0.14vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.97+2.28vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.89+0.15vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.95-4.48vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.70-4.20vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.45-8.26vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.72-3.49vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.49vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.42-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Roger Williams University1.606.3%1st Place
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6.54Roger Williams University1.9410.0%1st Place
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8.17George Washington University1.275.5%1st Place
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5.69Brown University2.2211.7%1st Place
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9.32Connecticut College1.094.0%1st Place
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8.35Fordham University1.425.4%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island1.804.8%1st Place
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7.86Yale University1.595.9%1st Place
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11.28Salve Regina University0.972.2%1st Place
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10.15Connecticut College0.893.6%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College1.959.0%1st Place
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7.8Yale University1.706.4%1st Place
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4.74Harvard University2.4516.0%1st Place
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10.51SUNY Maritime College0.724.0%1st Place
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14.51Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.7%1st Place
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8.57University of Rhode Island1.424.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Mason Stang | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Craine | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 3.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Declan Botwinick | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 10.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 5.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Alex Adams | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Robby Meek | 16.0% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 7.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 12.4% | 64.5% |
| Henry Lee | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.