Race 9A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Colin MURPHY 20.1% 20.0% 17.1% 13.8% 10.2% 7.4% 4.9% 2.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Willem Sandberg 22.4% 20.2% 17.4% 14.2% 11.4% 7.0% 3.1% 1.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Nate Jermain 21.1% 19.7% 14.8% 13.4% 11.6% 8.5% 5.2% 3.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Lubliner 4.8% 6.6% 9.6% 10.0% 8.5% 12.7% 12.2% 10.2% 8.7% 7.0% 5.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.3%
John O'Riordan 3.7% 4.8% 4.8% 5.0% 9.4% 9.6% 9.3% 9.8% 11.7% 10.2% 9.8% 7.1% 3.6% 1.2%
John McGlynn 8.9% 8.9% 12.6% 11.4% 13.7% 11.7% 9.8% 7.8% 6.4% 5.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
John Croll 5.9% 5.9% 5.8% 7.8% 9.6% 9.7% 11.8% 11.1% 10.1% 8.9% 6.1% 5.1% 1.8% 0.4%
Jack Pinnell 0.9% 0.4% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 3.9% 4.0% 4.0% 6.6% 12.6% 18.5% 39.8%
Michael Rottier 4.7% 4.1% 5.2% 8.5% 6.1% 9.7% 12.3% 12.6% 11.1% 9.8% 7.0% 4.6% 3.3% 1.0%
Evan Voliakis 1.3% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 2.7% 2.4% 3.6% 5.6% 6.1% 9.4% 12.6% 15.7% 21.7% 14.7%
Alex Gatto 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 3.0% 4.4% 5.6% 8.4% 7.8% 9.6% 12.1% 14.4% 12.8% 9.4% 5.5%
Jakub Tyczynski 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 3.7% 3.3% 4.1% 6.5% 8.4% 10.4% 11.6% 13.8% 12.6% 11.8% 8.4%
Adrija Navarro 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 1.2% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 4.4% 5.7% 6.4% 8.4% 15.1% 21.9% 26.2%
Andrew Murphy 2.0% 3.2% 3.7% 4.7% 5.4% 6.9% 7.4% 10.5% 10.3% 13.2% 13.3% 9.9% 7.0% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.