Race 10A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Willem Sandberg 22.2% 19.5% 15.5% 14.3% 11.0% 7.1% 6.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John O'Riordan 3.7% 4.7% 6.0% 7.4% 8.1% 7.9% 9.7% 12.4% 11.8% 10.4% 7.5% 6.6% 3.2% 0.6%
John Croll 5.5% 5.1% 5.9% 7.0% 6.9% 9.7% 10.7% 11.6% 11.6% 11.1% 7.9% 4.7% 1.4% 0.9%
Nate Jermain 18.0% 19.4% 15.7% 12.4% 13.4% 8.2% 6.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 7.2% 8.3% 11.2% 12.0% 11.6% 12.6% 10.4% 8.8% 8.8% 4.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Colin MURPHY 19.4% 17.4% 16.4% 14.9% 10.2% 9.2% 6.2% 3.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John McGlynn 10.4% 11.2% 11.8% 10.9% 13.5% 11.9% 8.7% 8.8% 6.6% 4.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Rottier 4.6% 5.4% 6.5% 6.9% 7.5% 8.4% 11.0% 11.6% 11.1% 9.7% 7.6% 5.7% 3.3% 0.7%
Adrija Navarro 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 2.1% 1.1% 1.5% 2.8% 3.6% 5.2% 5.6% 9.3% 16.3% 23.6% 25.6%
Andrew Murphy 2.4% 2.8% 1.9% 3.1% 5.0% 7.4% 8.2% 10.6% 10.5% 12.2% 13.6% 9.9% 8.0% 4.4%
Alex Gatto 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 3.1% 4.3% 6.4% 7.1% 8.0% 9.9% 13.8% 12.3% 13.4% 10.4% 4.9%
Evan Voliakis 1.0% 1.0% 1.5% 2.1% 1.8% 3.6% 3.4% 5.3% 7.2% 9.5% 11.7% 15.3% 18.8% 17.8%
Jack Pinnell 1.1% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 3.1% 4.1% 4.8% 9.1% 11.2% 20.3% 39.0%
Jakub Tyczynski 1.7% 1.5% 2.9% 3.0% 4.4% 4.3% 7.5% 6.7% 8.8% 11.4% 15.8% 15.5% 10.5% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.