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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.60+6.67vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+3.70vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.95+3.33vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.70+3.74vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.89+5.04vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.27+2.41vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.80+1.13vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.45-3.23vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.42-0.83vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.94-3.32vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.09-1.54vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.72-1.39vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.59-5.34vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-2.40vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.54vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.42-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Roger Williams University1.606.0%1st Place
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5.7Brown University2.2211.5%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College1.9510.9%1st Place
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7.74Yale University1.706.9%1st Place
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10.04Connecticut College0.893.8%1st Place
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8.41George Washington University1.275.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Rhode Island1.806.4%1st Place
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4.77Harvard University2.4516.3%1st Place
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8.17Fordham University1.425.4%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University1.947.2%1st Place
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9.46Connecticut College1.094.5%1st Place
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10.61SUNY Maritime College0.722.5%1st Place
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7.66Yale University1.596.9%1st Place
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11.6Salve Regina University0.972.0%1st Place
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14.46Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.6%1st Place
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8.58University of Rhode Island1.424.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Mason Stang | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Alex Adams | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Declan Botwinick | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Robby Meek | 16.3% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Craine | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 2.8% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 7.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 20.9% | 11.7% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 12.6% | 63.2% |
| Henry Lee | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.