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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+7.50vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.94+4.77vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+2.82vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.70+4.03vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.95+1.38vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.89+4.07vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.59+0.73vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.45-3.24vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.60-1.41vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97+1.44vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.27-2.93vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.94-4.08vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.42-4.51vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.09-4.62vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.72-4.25vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5University of Rhode Island1.804.2%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University1.948.8%1st Place
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5.82Brown University2.2211.0%1st Place
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8.03Yale University1.706.0%1st Place
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6.38Dartmouth College1.958.7%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College0.893.9%1st Place
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7.73Yale University1.596.5%1st Place
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4.76Harvard University2.4515.7%1st Place
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7.59Roger Williams University1.606.8%1st Place
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11.44Salve Regina University0.972.6%1st Place
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8.07George Washington University1.275.9%1st Place
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7.92Fordham University1.945.7%1st Place
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8.49University of Rhode Island1.424.9%1st Place
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9.38Connecticut College1.094.9%1st Place
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10.75SUNY Maritime College0.723.2%1st Place
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14.31Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 6.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Robby Meek | 15.7% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 20.3% | 13.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Henry Lee | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Duncan Craine | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 7.8% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 12.3% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.