Race 11A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Julia Paxton 8.0% 10.8% 10.6% 11.9% 10.8% 12.4% 10.5% 9.1% 5.6% 5.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Willem Sandberg 22.8% 19.5% 16.2% 14.4% 10.6% 7.6% 5.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Colin MURPHY 20.2% 19.0% 15.4% 14.2% 11.6% 8.7% 5.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John McGlynn 7.9% 10.4% 12.3% 10.6% 13.1% 13.1% 9.2% 9.2% 7.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Nate Jermain 16.2% 19.6% 16.2% 14.4% 12.1% 9.1% 5.8% 3.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Croll 4.7% 3.9% 5.4% 7.8% 7.6% 9.8% 11.1% 10.4% 13.2% 9.7% 7.6% 5.4% 2.9% 0.5%
Michael Rottier 5.2% 4.5% 7.4% 7.0% 7.9% 9.8% 10.8% 12.7% 10.6% 9.2% 7.9% 4.3% 2.3% 0.4%
John O'Riordan 4.7% 3.9% 5.8% 6.9% 6.2% 9.0% 9.7% 11.6% 11.9% 10.0% 9.2% 6.5% 3.8% 0.8%
Andrew Murphy 3.4% 2.5% 2.8% 3.2% 4.7% 5.1% 7.2% 10.1% 12.8% 12.5% 13.5% 11.3% 7.5% 3.4%
Evan Voliakis 1.4% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 1.8% 3.6% 5.6% 7.7% 10.5% 11.2% 14.3% 20.0% 18.0%
Alex Gatto 2.2% 1.9% 2.5% 2.3% 5.5% 4.5% 9.2% 7.7% 10.8% 12.6% 13.0% 13.3% 9.3% 5.2%
Jack Pinnell 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.3% 1.3% 3.6% 3.5% 4.9% 8.8% 12.8% 18.8% 40.1%
Adrija Navarro 1.3% 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 2.2% 2.2% 3.7% 3.4% 4.6% 7.1% 9.7% 13.8% 22.7% 26.1%
Jakub Tyczynski 1.5% 1.9% 2.5% 2.8% 3.7% 5.6% 7.4% 7.9% 8.7% 11.5% 12.8% 16.5% 11.8% 5.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.