Race 12A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Willem Sandberg 23.0% 19.3% 16.9% 11.7% 11.0% 8.6% 3.9% 2.8% 2.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 8.4% 11.1% 10.2% 12.5% 10.9% 12.0% 12.0% 9.3% 6.4% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
John Croll 4.8% 5.1% 5.8% 8.0% 7.8% 8.7% 9.2% 13.9% 11.1% 10.3% 8.1% 4.3% 2.5% 0.4%
John McGlynn 7.1% 10.1% 13.4% 11.2% 12.5% 12.3% 10.8% 8.8% 6.0% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Nate Jermain 18.0% 17.6% 15.6% 14.2% 13.3% 8.5% 6.1% 3.8% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Rottier 4.3% 4.5% 5.4% 6.4% 7.9% 9.2% 12.1% 11.0% 11.4% 9.3% 8.4% 6.2% 3.4% 0.5%
John O'Riordan 4.2% 4.9% 5.9% 7.8% 6.7% 8.6% 10.6% 11.2% 12.6% 10.3% 8.2% 5.6% 2.8% 0.6%
Colin MURPHY 21.3% 16.5% 15.8% 14.5% 10.6% 8.9% 5.7% 3.8% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Gatto 2.5% 2.9% 2.4% 2.7% 4.8% 4.9% 5.3% 8.1% 11.4% 13.5% 12.7% 13.8% 10.0% 5.0%
Jack Pinnell 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 3.6% 4.7% 8.7% 12.0% 21.5% 39.6%
Andrew Murphy 2.5% 2.6% 2.3% 3.4% 5.9% 6.2% 8.6% 8.6% 12.1% 12.0% 12.2% 11.5% 8.2% 3.9%
Evan Voliakis 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 3.1% 3.7% 5.6% 6.0% 9.5% 13.6% 15.2% 17.1% 18.5%
Adrija Navarro 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 1.8% 2.4% 2.6% 4.3% 5.0% 7.4% 9.0% 14.4% 22.9% 25.4%
Jakub Tyczynski 1.4% 2.0% 2.7% 3.4% 3.9% 4.9% 7.7% 6.4% 9.0% 12.1% 14.3% 15.4% 11.1% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.