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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+7.32vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.89+8.14vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.94+3.56vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.45+0.91vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.97+6.39vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.59+1.74vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.22-1.25vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.95-1.56vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.60-1.31vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.42-1.56vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.70-3.15vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.09-2.46vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.94-4.97vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.27-5.83vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.72-4.34vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32University of Rhode Island1.805.5%1st Place
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10.14Connecticut College0.893.6%1st Place
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6.56Roger Williams University1.949.5%1st Place
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4.91Harvard University2.4515.2%1st Place
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11.39Salve Regina University0.972.5%1st Place
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7.74Yale University1.596.1%1st Place
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5.75Brown University2.2211.6%1st Place
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6.44Dartmouth College1.959.6%1st Place
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7.69Roger Williams University1.606.8%1st Place
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8.44University of Rhode Island1.424.3%1st Place
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7.85Yale University1.706.7%1st Place
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9.54Connecticut College1.093.8%1st Place
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8.03Fordham University1.945.1%1st Place
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8.17George Washington University1.276.1%1st Place
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10.66SUNY Maritime College0.723.0%1st Place
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14.38Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 5.6% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 15.2% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 19.2% | 11.7% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Mason Stang | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Roman | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Henry Lee | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Alex Adams | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Duncan Craine | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 3.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 7.3% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 63.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.