Race 13A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Willem Sandberg 22.7% 21.3% 15.8% 12.6% 11.7% 6.8% 4.0% 3.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin MURPHY 22.8% 18.0% 17.2% 15.4% 11.1% 6.6% 4.6% 2.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John McGlynn 9.4% 9.7% 11.2% 13.5% 13.7% 12.0% 11.8% 8.5% 5.9% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
John Croll 3.6% 5.1% 7.0% 8.0% 8.4% 8.6% 13.2% 15.0% 10.6% 8.6% 6.0% 4.0% 1.3% 0.6%
Nate Jermain 16.4% 19.2% 18.3% 14.5% 12.0% 9.4% 5.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 2.8% 2.1% 2.7% 4.3% 4.8% 8.7% 8.6% 10.7% 12.9% 11.3% 12.1% 8.9% 7.6% 2.5%
Michael Rottier 5.3% 5.2% 7.6% 7.9% 8.9% 10.5% 12.7% 11.2% 11.6% 9.0% 5.5% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Julia Paxton 9.4% 11.1% 9.8% 11.4% 13.1% 12.9% 9.3% 9.3% 6.8% 3.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Wachowicz 1.2% 2.1% 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 3.3% 4.3% 5.2% 7.7% 10.3% 14.2% 15.3% 17.3% 14.2%
Alex Gatto 2.1% 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 5.5% 6.9% 9.1% 9.7% 10.9% 12.6% 12.2% 12.6% 8.2% 3.4%
Jack Pinnell 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 1.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.8% 3.6% 4.2% 6.8% 8.9% 11.3% 20.0% 37.1%
Evan Voliakis 1.0% 0.9% 1.9% 1.6% 2.1% 3.8% 3.8% 6.5% 9.4% 10.4% 12.2% 15.9% 15.3% 15.2%
Adrija Navarro 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 2.6% 4.1% 4.1% 6.8% 9.0% 10.5% 14.6% 19.3% 22.3%
Jakub Tyczynski 1.6% 1.8% 2.7% 3.2% 4.1% 6.4% 7.4% 7.4% 10.6% 14.2% 14.2% 12.4% 9.6% 4.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.