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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+7.01vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.89+7.87vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.45+1.65vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.59+3.42vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.94+1.45vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22-0.41vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.60+0.29vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97+3.21vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.70-1.45vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.72+0.48vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.27-3.00vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.42-3.60vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.94-5.30vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.95-7.84vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.78vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College-0.13-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01University of Rhode Island1.805.1%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College0.893.3%1st Place
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4.65Harvard University2.4516.4%1st Place
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7.42Yale University1.596.1%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University1.948.6%1st Place
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5.59Brown University2.2212.3%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University1.606.9%1st Place
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11.21Salve Regina University0.972.0%1st Place
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7.55Yale University1.707.6%1st Place
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10.48SUNY Maritime College0.722.4%1st Place
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8.0George Washington University1.276.3%1st Place
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8.4University of Rhode Island1.425.1%1st Place
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7.7Fordham University1.946.2%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College1.9510.2%1st Place
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14.22Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.5%1st Place
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13.01Connecticut College-0.130.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
| Robby Meek | 16.4% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 12.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 8.5% |
| Alex Adams | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 5.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Henry Lee | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 54.6% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 26.4% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.