Race 1B

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Edward Titcomb 7.6% 9.8% 10.0% 9.9% 11.6% 11.3% 9.8% 10.2% 9.0% 5.2% 3.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Charles Proctor 18.2% 16.6% 14.0% 14.5% 12.6% 7.6% 7.5% 4.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 13.6% 12.7% 13.4% 11.8% 11.6% 11.4% 10.0% 6.6% 5.2% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Collin Clark 4.0% 4.5% 7.2% 7.0% 6.4% 9.7% 9.9% 12.6% 13.2% 11.0% 8.6% 4.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Mike Carr 16.0% 15.6% 15.7% 15.6% 9.7% 9.1% 8.2% 4.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Haley 4.9% 5.3% 5.8% 4.5% 8.0% 9.5% 10.6% 12.6% 11.1% 14.0% 8.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Harmen Rockler 1.8% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 4.6% 3.4% 5.9% 6.5% 8.8% 14.4% 19.0% 17.8% 8.7% 1.8%
Adam Ceely 16.5% 15.4% 12.4% 12.1% 12.7% 9.8% 6.8% 6.8% 5.0% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Russell 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 2.1% 3.5% 4.7% 6.2% 14.7% 27.7% 23.8% 9.9%
Richard Sant 3.7% 3.6% 4.8% 5.2% 6.9% 8.0% 8.6% 11.4% 13.8% 14.9% 10.5% 6.4% 1.9% 0.3%
David Coplon 9.6% 9.9% 9.5% 10.8% 10.3% 12.2% 11.2% 9.8% 7.1% 5.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
William Kresic 2.2% 2.5% 2.8% 3.9% 2.9% 5.2% 7.3% 9.0% 12.5% 15.7% 16.6% 12.3% 5.9% 1.2%
Paul Guentert 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 2.6% 4.9% 8.1% 24.2% 54.4%
Dylan Ackermamn 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 3.9% 7.0% 16.4% 32.7% 31.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.