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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+3.72vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.60+5.36vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+2.58vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.94+2.53vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.80+3.00vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.59+1.43vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.95-0.76vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.70-0.48vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.89+0.81vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.42-1.93vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.72-0.66vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.94-4.28vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.27-4.69vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-2.77vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.70vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College-0.13-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Harvard University2.4516.2%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University1.606.5%1st Place
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5.58Brown University2.2211.8%1st Place
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6.53Roger Williams University1.9410.2%1st Place
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8.0University of Rhode Island1.805.5%1st Place
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7.43Yale University1.597.3%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College1.958.9%1st Place
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7.52Yale University1.706.3%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College0.893.3%1st Place
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8.07University of Rhode Island1.425.5%1st Place
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10.34SUNY Maritime College0.723.0%1st Place
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7.72Fordham University1.946.5%1st Place
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8.31George Washington University1.275.2%1st Place
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11.23Salve Regina University0.972.2%1st Place
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14.3Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.7%1st Place
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12.85Connecticut College-0.130.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 16.2% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Mason Stang | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alex Adams | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
| Henry Lee | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 5.4% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 8.8% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 16.5% | 54.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 24.4% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.