Race 2B

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Charles Proctor 17.5% 15.8% 15.2% 14.2% 10.4% 8.4% 7.7% 5.5% 2.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Edward Titcomb 9.2% 9.6% 9.6% 10.5% 11.3% 11.5% 9.6% 10.8% 8.5% 6.1% 2.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Mike Carr 18.4% 17.6% 13.5% 12.4% 12.1% 9.5% 7.4% 4.2% 2.7% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Collin Clark 3.8% 4.7% 6.7% 6.9% 9.2% 7.3% 10.2% 12.5% 12.8% 11.1% 8.6% 5.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Martin McDonald 11.0% 11.6% 13.8% 12.6% 11.9% 12.3% 10.0% 8.0% 4.5% 2.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Ceely 14.7% 13.1% 13.6% 14.9% 12.1% 10.2% 7.8% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Haley 5.7% 6.4% 7.1% 6.8% 6.7% 9.0% 10.7% 12.7% 11.6% 11.6% 7.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1%
David Coplon 9.9% 11.2% 9.2% 10.4% 11.5% 11.8% 10.0% 9.0% 9.2% 5.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
William Kresic 2.7% 2.9% 2.0% 2.9% 3.8% 4.4% 7.4% 6.9% 11.8% 17.7% 18.5% 12.5% 4.9% 1.6%
Harmen Rockler 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 1.5% 2.4% 3.9% 4.7% 7.5% 10.1% 13.4% 17.8% 20.8% 10.0% 2.5%
Dylan Russell 0.5% 1.0% 1.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 3.0% 3.1% 5.3% 6.9% 15.4% 25.0% 25.6% 9.4%
Richard Sant 4.0% 3.7% 4.9% 4.6% 6.5% 9.1% 9.9% 11.0% 13.3% 14.1% 10.5% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5%
Paul Guentert 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 2.7% 5.1% 10.9% 21.9% 54.0%
Dylan Ackermamn 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 2.2% 3.9% 7.7% 15.0% 33.2% 31.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.