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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.60+6.42vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.94+4.49vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.59+4.43vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.45+0.69vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.89+4.67vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.80+1.00vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97+3.35vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.42-0.61vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.95-3.86vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.72-0.57vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.70-4.48vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.27-4.96vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.42-6.24vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.74vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College-0.13-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Roger Williams University1.606.9%1st Place
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6.49Roger Williams University1.948.3%1st Place
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7.43Yale University1.597.3%1st Place
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4.69Harvard University2.4516.2%1st Place
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9.67Connecticut College0.893.8%1st Place
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5.57Brown University2.2212.2%1st Place
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8.0University of Rhode Island1.805.2%1st Place
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11.35Salve Regina University0.972.4%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island1.425.5%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College1.959.4%1st Place
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10.43SUNY Maritime College0.722.5%1st Place
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7.52Yale University1.707.1%1st Place
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8.04George Washington University1.275.7%1st Place
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7.76Fordham University1.425.6%1st Place
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14.26Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.7%1st Place
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12.84Connecticut College-0.131.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Robby Meek | 16.2% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Mason Stang | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 8.5% |
| Henry Lee | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 5.3% |
| Alex Adams | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 16.3% | 54.4% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 25.4% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.