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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+1.86vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.47+2.60vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+0.26vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13-0.50vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-1.20vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.94-0.56vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.41-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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4.6Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
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3.26Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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3.5Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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3.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Wisconsin1.940.1%1st Place
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4.53Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 27.6% | 22.9% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Amy Baxter | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 19.3% |
| Emily Billing | 19.3% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Brendan Cook | 17.9% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 12.4% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 7.6% |
| Mary Cummins | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 42.8% |
| Sarah Fiske | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 22.0% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.