Race 3B

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Edward Titcomb 8.1% 9.0% 10.7% 10.2% 8.6% 11.3% 12.7% 10.4% 6.7% 7.1% 3.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Adam Ceely 16.4% 14.5% 13.7% 14.2% 11.5% 10.5% 8.0% 5.9% 3.0% 1.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 12.9% 13.0% 12.6% 12.9% 11.2% 11.1% 9.5% 8.1% 5.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Haley 4.0% 4.9% 6.2% 8.3% 9.3% 7.0% 10.1% 11.5% 13.3% 12.9% 7.3% 4.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Mike Carr 15.2% 17.0% 16.1% 11.3% 11.9% 12.0% 7.3% 4.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
David Coplon 9.1% 9.6% 10.2% 10.4% 11.1% 11.1% 11.5% 9.2% 7.9% 5.5% 3.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Charles Proctor 18.7% 17.7% 14.6% 11.0% 12.6% 9.8% 7.0% 4.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Kresic 3.3% 2.2% 3.4% 3.4% 4.7% 4.9% 6.2% 7.8% 11.1% 15.5% 16.0% 14.1% 6.3% 1.1%
Richard Sant 5.1% 3.0% 3.4% 6.2% 6.1% 7.1% 9.2% 12.3% 13.9% 14.7% 10.5% 6.5% 1.6% 0.4%
Collin Clark 4.0% 5.8% 4.7% 7.2% 7.4% 9.1% 9.6% 12.2% 14.8% 10.1% 8.8% 5.2% 0.8% 0.3%
Dylan Ackermamn 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 1.6% 2.2% 3.7% 7.2% 13.6% 33.2% 34.4%
Harmen Rockler 1.6% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% 2.9% 3.3% 4.9% 6.9% 9.4% 13.5% 21.7% 18.2% 8.4% 2.9%
Paul Guentert 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 2.9% 4.3% 9.2% 24.5% 53.0%
Dylan Russell 0.8% 0.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 2.4% 3.5% 6.5% 7.7% 14.6% 26.4% 23.7% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.