← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.45+3.61vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.60+5.39vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.80+5.20vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.42+4.27vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.22+0.56vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.94+0.19vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College0.89+2.70vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College1.95-1.70vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University1.27-0.76vs Predicted
-
10Yale University1.70-2.48vs Predicted
-
11Yale University1.59-3.54vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College0.72-1.83vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.42-5.13vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University0.97-2.65vs Predicted
-
15Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.67vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College-0.13-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.61Harvard University2.4516.2%1st Place
-
7.39Roger Williams University1.607.2%1st Place
-
8.2University of Rhode Island1.805.1%1st Place
-
8.27University of Rhode Island1.425.6%1st Place
-
5.56Brown University2.2211.9%1st Place
-
6.19Roger Williams University1.949.7%1st Place
-
9.7Connecticut College0.894.0%1st Place
-
6.3Dartmouth College1.959.3%1st Place
-
8.24George Washington University1.275.5%1st Place
-
7.52Yale University1.706.1%1st Place
-
7.46Yale University1.596.5%1st Place
-
10.17SUNY Maritime College0.723.1%1st Place
-
7.87Fordham University1.425.8%1st Place
-
11.35Salve Regina University0.972.2%1st Place
-
14.33Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.4%1st Place
-
12.85Connecticut College-0.131.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 16.2% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Declan Botwinick | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Henry Lee | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Mason Stang | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Alex Adams | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 4.8% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 8.8% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 18.5% | 53.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 25.4% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.