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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.70+6.50vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.94+4.46vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+2.64vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.72+6.30vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.95+1.22vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.59+1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42+1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.80+0.06vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.45-4.30vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.42-2.03vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97+0.18vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.89-2.29vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.60-5.72vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+0.19vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.27-6.99vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College-0.13-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Yale University1.706.6%1st Place
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6.46Roger Williams University1.9410.0%1st Place
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5.64Brown University2.2211.2%1st Place
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10.3SUNY Maritime College0.722.5%1st Place
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6.22Dartmouth College1.9510.8%1st Place
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7.43Yale University1.597.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Rhode Island1.424.7%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island1.805.8%1st Place
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4.7Harvard University2.4516.1%1st Place
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7.97Fordham University1.425.3%1st Place
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11.18Salve Regina University0.972.2%1st Place
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9.71Connecticut College0.893.6%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University1.606.8%1st Place
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14.19Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.8%1st Place
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8.01George Washington University1.275.5%1st Place
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12.97Connecticut College-0.131.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Henry Lee | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Declan Botwinick | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Robby Meek | 16.1% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 8.5% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Jack Roman | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 17.0% | 53.4% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 25.4% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.