Race 4B

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Martin McDonald 12.9% 14.2% 12.9% 10.9% 11.6% 12.3% 9.2% 6.1% 5.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
David Coplon 11.0% 10.4% 10.2% 11.1% 11.4% 10.8% 11.6% 9.4% 5.9% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Ceely 15.8% 14.9% 12.4% 13.2% 11.9% 10.3% 8.9% 6.3% 3.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Edward Titcomb 7.6% 8.2% 10.1% 10.7% 10.3% 11.4% 10.8% 10.7% 8.9% 7.2% 2.1% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Charles Proctor 14.3% 17.0% 14.2% 14.1% 11.9% 8.6% 8.3% 6.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mike Carr 18.2% 15.3% 14.6% 13.0% 12.1% 9.7% 7.2% 4.8% 2.6% 2.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
William Kresic 2.6% 2.3% 4.0% 3.8% 5.8% 4.5% 7.2% 8.0% 10.8% 15.0% 17.4% 12.9% 4.2% 1.5%
Molly Haley 5.6% 4.7% 7.8% 6.6% 7.1% 8.7% 9.7% 12.3% 12.5% 10.8% 7.5% 5.2% 1.4% 0.1%
Harmen Rockler 2.0% 2.1% 2.2% 1.6% 2.3% 4.1% 4.7% 5.2% 10.5% 12.5% 22.9% 18.1% 9.5% 2.3%
Collin Clark 4.6% 5.0% 5.0% 6.8% 7.8% 8.0% 9.2% 13.1% 13.7% 12.5% 9.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Dylan Russell 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 1.6% 2.0% 3.6% 5.4% 8.1% 13.9% 27.7% 21.2% 11.4%
Paul Guentert 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 1.0% 0.7% 1.0% 2.0% 2.7% 3.1% 10.1% 25.4% 52.8%
Richard Sant 4.5% 4.4% 4.7% 5.9% 5.8% 8.1% 9.3% 11.8% 13.1% 14.7% 9.8% 5.4% 2.3% 0.2%
Dylan Ackermamn 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 3.4% 8.5% 13.8% 34.3% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.