Race 5B

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
David Coplon 10.2% 9.6% 12.8% 9.3% 11.2% 11.4% 9.8% 9.4% 7.1% 5.4% 2.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Proctor 18.2% 17.2% 14.0% 13.4% 13.3% 9.2% 5.7% 5.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Titcomb 8.9% 9.3% 9.1% 9.5% 9.3% 13.3% 10.8% 10.6% 8.4% 5.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Mike Carr 16.4% 18.2% 15.6% 11.1% 12.3% 9.8% 6.6% 5.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 10.4% 12.4% 13.6% 15.3% 11.1% 10.0% 9.8% 6.9% 6.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Collin Clark 4.5% 5.0% 4.9% 6.8% 6.1% 9.4% 11.6% 11.0% 13.4% 11.7% 9.3% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Richard Sant 4.2% 5.3% 5.8% 5.5% 6.9% 6.5% 10.7% 10.9% 13.8% 13.4% 10.5% 4.7% 1.3% 0.5%
Molly Haley 5.9% 5.1% 6.3% 7.3% 7.2% 8.1% 10.5% 11.4% 11.8% 12.5% 8.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.0%
Adam Ceely 14.9% 13.1% 12.9% 13.6% 13.6% 10.0% 8.7% 6.5% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Harmen Rockler 2.0% 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 2.2% 3.3% 4.7% 8.0% 10.0% 14.3% 18.6% 18.0% 9.7% 3.7%
William Kresic 2.8% 2.0% 1.7% 3.0% 4.8% 5.9% 6.5% 8.6% 11.9% 15.5% 16.9% 13.3% 6.3% 0.8%
Dylan Russell 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.9% 1.0% 1.5% 2.9% 2.7% 4.6% 9.5% 14.9% 27.0% 21.4% 10.3%
Dylan Ackermamn 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 2.1% 2.7% 2.9% 7.0% 14.8% 34.1% 32.0%
Paul Guentert 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 2.5% 5.4% 9.8% 24.1% 52.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.