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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+7.00vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.94+4.33vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.59+4.42vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.70+3.60vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.42+3.34vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.95+0.37vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.45-2.33vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97+3.20vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.60-1.59vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.42-2.15vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.89-1.03vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.22-6.52vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+1.27vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.72-3.69vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.27-7.09vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College-0.13-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0University of Rhode Island1.804.9%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University1.9410.1%1st Place
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7.42Yale University1.596.5%1st Place
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7.6Yale University1.705.7%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island1.424.7%1st Place
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6.37Dartmouth College1.959.3%1st Place
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4.67Harvard University2.4517.6%1st Place
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11.2Salve Regina University0.972.1%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University1.606.8%1st Place
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7.85Fordham University1.425.3%1st Place
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9.97Connecticut College0.893.5%1st Place
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5.48Brown University2.2212.8%1st Place
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14.27Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.6%1st Place
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10.31SUNY Maritime College0.722.9%1st Place
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7.91George Washington University1.276.3%1st Place
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12.88Connecticut College-0.130.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Alex Adams | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Henry Lee | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 17.6% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 8.5% |
| Jack Roman | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 3.2% |
| Mason Stang | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 15.8% | 56.4% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 4.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 25.4% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.