Race 7B

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mike Carr 18.1% 17.4% 14.2% 13.5% 12.0% 8.4% 6.6% 4.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Titcomb 8.4% 10.5% 10.1% 10.2% 9.8% 11.5% 12.0% 9.5% 9.8% 4.1% 2.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 13.9% 12.3% 13.3% 11.5% 12.2% 9.9% 9.8% 7.8% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Proctor 16.2% 16.8% 14.5% 12.1% 13.0% 9.3% 7.4% 4.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
David Coplon 7.6% 8.5% 11.6% 11.5% 11.3% 10.9% 9.7% 11.4% 7.9% 6.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Ceely 15.0% 12.3% 13.7% 15.1% 9.8% 11.8% 9.0% 5.8% 4.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Collin Clark 6.1% 6.5% 5.6% 5.9% 7.6% 10.7% 10.1% 10.2% 11.9% 12.5% 7.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.0%
Richard Sant 4.1% 5.1% 5.5% 5.3% 7.3% 5.6% 9.6% 10.8% 11.0% 14.3% 13.0% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Molly Haley 5.1% 4.9% 5.6% 5.6% 7.6% 9.0% 9.9% 14.3% 12.5% 12.0% 8.6% 3.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Paul Guentert 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 2.2% 2.9% 9.6% 25.4% 54.4%
William Kresic 2.1% 2.5% 2.1% 3.4% 4.0% 6.4% 6.3% 8.0% 10.7% 16.5% 17.8% 12.6% 7.1% 0.5%
Dylan Russell 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 2.2% 3.5% 5.0% 7.5% 15.1% 28.1% 20.5% 10.9%
Dylan Ackermamn 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.3% 0.6% 1.4% 3.2% 3.9% 6.7% 13.6% 35.1% 31.5%
Harmen Rockler 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 3.6% 2.6% 2.7% 5.8% 6.9% 10.5% 12.8% 20.2% 19.3% 7.7% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.