Race 8B

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Edward Titcomb 8.1% 8.9% 11.7% 9.8% 11.2% 9.8% 11.3% 9.4% 7.6% 6.2% 4.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
David Coplon 10.3% 10.7% 11.1% 9.8% 10.4% 12.5% 11.1% 9.6% 7.0% 4.6% 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Mike Carr 19.1% 16.0% 14.1% 12.5% 12.1% 9.7% 8.6% 4.2% 2.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 12.3% 14.0% 12.3% 12.6% 11.6% 11.3% 9.2% 6.7% 5.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Haley 4.0% 4.3% 5.7% 7.2% 7.7% 9.1% 10.1% 11.6% 13.7% 12.7% 8.0% 5.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Charles Proctor 16.9% 13.4% 16.1% 14.2% 11.2% 8.4% 7.5% 6.7% 2.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Sant 4.1% 4.8% 6.8% 4.9% 6.9% 7.2% 8.9% 12.7% 13.3% 12.6% 10.3% 6.0% 1.5% 0.0%
Collin Clark 5.5% 5.8% 5.7% 6.7% 7.2% 8.8% 8.9% 11.2% 13.4% 12.1% 9.1% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2%
Adam Ceely 13.8% 16.0% 11.0% 14.3% 12.3% 10.9% 8.0% 6.8% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Russell 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 1.8% 2.6% 4.7% 9.7% 14.6% 24.8% 23.8% 11.0%
William Kresic 1.9% 3.0% 2.1% 2.7% 4.3% 5.3% 7.9% 7.1% 12.5% 14.3% 18.9% 13.2% 5.9% 0.9%
Paul Guentert 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.6% 0.9% 2.6% 4.4% 10.6% 23.6% 53.4%
Dylan Ackermamn 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 2.8% 4.2% 6.2% 14.5% 33.7% 32.6%
Harmen Rockler 2.2% 1.6% 1.4% 3.4% 2.2% 4.2% 4.7% 8.8% 8.5% 13.9% 19.4% 18.7% 9.2% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.