Race 9B

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Martin McDonald 15.0% 14.4% 11.9% 12.6% 11.9% 10.8% 7.7% 7.2% 4.3% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Molly Haley 4.6% 6.8% 6.7% 8.5% 7.9% 8.8% 10.2% 12.5% 12.2% 9.8% 7.1% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Charles Proctor 18.8% 17.7% 14.6% 12.4% 11.6% 9.6% 7.2% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Titcomb 8.8% 9.1% 10.1% 10.2% 11.7% 10.6% 10.9% 10.0% 8.4% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Adam Ceely 14.2% 15.8% 15.4% 13.4% 11.2% 10.0% 7.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
David Coplon 10.5% 9.5% 10.7% 10.1% 12.8% 11.6% 9.9% 8.2% 8.2% 5.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Nilsen 11.5% 11.6% 11.2% 10.3% 11.3% 11.2% 10.8% 8.0% 6.9% 5.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Richard Sant 5.6% 3.9% 5.8% 6.7% 5.6% 7.2% 9.5% 11.7% 11.4% 12.9% 10.5% 6.7% 2.3% 0.2%
William Kresic 2.9% 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 3.5% 5.0% 6.6% 7.1% 11.5% 17.1% 18.4% 12.3% 5.3% 1.6%
Collin Clark 5.2% 5.0% 5.0% 7.9% 6.9% 9.1% 9.4% 12.5% 12.9% 12.1% 8.4% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Dylan Russell 0.4% 1.1% 1.9% 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 3.2% 2.5% 5.2% 8.9% 12.8% 27.6% 23.0% 10.1%
Harmen Rockler 1.4% 1.7% 2.8% 2.7% 3.2% 3.5% 4.5% 7.8% 9.4% 12.1% 19.7% 17.8% 10.9% 2.5%
Dylan Ackermamn 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 0.2% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 2.6% 3.4% 8.8% 13.0% 32.6% 32.7%
Paul Guentert 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 2.4% 5.5% 9.9% 23.7% 52.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.