Race 10B

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Nilsen 10.2% 10.2% 12.6% 10.2% 11.1% 11.7% 10.0% 8.9% 6.7% 4.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
William Kresic 1.9% 3.5% 3.8% 4.9% 4.1% 5.7% 7.0% 7.3% 10.7% 16.9% 14.8% 13.1% 5.4% 0.9%
Charles Proctor 20.0% 16.4% 14.5% 12.7% 11.5% 9.1% 6.6% 4.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Ceely 15.7% 16.7% 13.0% 14.2% 10.7% 9.7% 8.0% 5.9% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
David Coplon 8.5% 10.7% 11.4% 11.5% 12.2% 10.2% 10.4% 8.8% 7.9% 5.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Collin Clark 5.2% 4.3% 6.7% 6.9% 7.0% 8.9% 10.0% 11.2% 14.4% 9.9% 9.4% 4.6% 1.2% 0.3%
Molly Haley 6.1% 7.0% 6.6% 7.7% 7.4% 9.2% 9.5% 13.1% 10.3% 10.8% 8.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Martin McDonald 15.4% 14.9% 12.2% 12.4% 10.9% 9.4% 7.5% 7.2% 5.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Titcomb 9.6% 8.4% 11.0% 9.1% 11.1% 10.6% 11.5% 10.9% 8.1% 5.7% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Richard Sant 4.1% 3.9% 4.0% 5.7% 8.9% 7.2% 9.8% 9.7% 12.8% 15.1% 9.6% 7.2% 1.4% 0.6%
Harmen Rockler 1.7% 2.1% 1.7% 2.2% 2.7% 4.4% 5.5% 6.6% 8.6% 11.8% 19.8% 19.8% 10.7% 2.4%
Dylan Russell 0.6% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 1.2% 2.3% 1.8% 2.6% 5.8% 7.6% 16.4% 25.3% 21.8% 10.4%
Dylan Ackermamn 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.9% 2.0% 3.6% 6.5% 14.2% 33.8% 32.9%
Paul Guentert 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 2.5% 4.9% 10.1% 24.4% 52.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.