Race 11B

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Adam Ceely 16.4% 16.3% 15.3% 11.3% 12.3% 9.7% 6.8% 5.2% 3.9% 1.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Proctor 20.2% 16.6% 15.2% 13.3% 12.0% 8.4% 6.8% 3.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Titcomb 9.1% 10.3% 8.7% 10.4% 11.3% 11.2% 11.9% 9.3% 7.4% 6.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Matthew Nilsen 8.7% 11.6% 10.9% 10.0% 11.9% 13.2% 7.8% 10.3% 6.6% 5.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Molly Haley 4.3% 6.1% 5.6% 7.4% 7.7% 10.0% 10.7% 12.9% 10.5% 10.0% 9.4% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Martin McDonald 13.3% 13.4% 13.1% 14.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.1% 6.8% 5.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
David Coplon 11.9% 11.0% 11.3% 11.1% 13.0% 10.5% 8.8% 9.3% 6.5% 4.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Richard Sant 4.6% 4.0% 7.2% 7.2% 4.8% 6.2% 11.6% 10.3% 12.0% 12.1% 10.8% 6.8% 2.2% 0.2%
William Kresic 3.1% 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 4.2% 4.9% 6.3% 9.3% 11.3% 15.5% 17.7% 12.6% 6.1% 1.1%
Harmen Rockler 1.7% 2.3% 1.8% 2.0% 1.5% 4.4% 5.2% 7.4% 11.3% 13.1% 18.0% 17.6% 9.9% 3.8%
Collin Clark 5.1% 4.4% 6.2% 8.2% 8.3% 8.0% 11.2% 9.9% 12.8% 12.0% 8.8% 4.0% 0.8% 0.3%
Dylan Russell 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 3.0% 5.7% 8.3% 15.0% 27.1% 20.8% 10.3%
Dylan Ackermamn 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 2.7% 4.1% 6.2% 14.3% 34.5% 31.7%
Paul Guentert 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 1.3% 1.5% 3.0% 4.1% 10.7% 24.2% 52.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.