Race 12B

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Molly Haley 5.5% 4.8% 7.8% 7.6% 8.2% 9.4% 10.5% 11.8% 10.3% 10.1% 8.6% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Martin McDonald 15.0% 15.7% 11.7% 13.4% 11.0% 11.1% 8.9% 6.3% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Nilsen 11.2% 10.5% 9.7% 11.2% 8.5% 11.7% 12.3% 9.0% 8.6% 3.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
David Coplon 9.2% 10.7% 11.7% 10.8% 12.0% 10.6% 9.4% 10.0% 7.8% 4.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Ceely 14.2% 16.1% 15.0% 12.0% 11.5% 10.1% 8.3% 5.9% 3.8% 1.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Proctor 18.2% 15.3% 16.0% 13.0% 11.3% 8.4% 7.6% 4.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Titcomb 10.5% 10.9% 10.0% 10.1% 11.1% 10.7% 10.5% 9.5% 7.5% 6.1% 1.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
William Kresic 3.1% 2.9% 3.4% 5.0% 4.4% 5.1% 5.5% 8.0% 10.5% 14.7% 17.8% 11.9% 6.4% 1.3%
Harmen Rockler 2.3% 2.4% 2.0% 2.0% 2.8% 3.5% 4.1% 6.6% 9.2% 15.9% 19.2% 18.8% 8.7% 2.5%
Dylan Russell 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 2.9% 2.5% 5.1% 7.5% 13.7% 27.4% 22.1% 11.6%
Richard Sant 3.8% 3.9% 4.7% 6.2% 8.1% 7.3% 8.7% 10.7% 13.1% 13.5% 11.0% 6.7% 2.1% 0.2%
Collin Clark 5.0% 4.6% 6.4% 6.9% 8.3% 8.9% 10.0% 12.2% 12.4% 11.8% 8.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Dylan Ackermamn 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 1.7% 2.6% 3.6% 7.6% 14.4% 32.9% 32.3%
Paul Guentert 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.9% 2.0% 3.5% 4.4% 9.6% 25.0% 51.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.