← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.47+3.52vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+1.76vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.29+0.24vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.13-0.47vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.51-2.05vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin1.94-0.57vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.41-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.52Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
-
3.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
-
3.24Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
-
3.53Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
-
2.95Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
-
5.43University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
-
4.57Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Baxter | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 19.7% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 13.7% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 8.5% |
| Emily Billing | 19.0% | 20.6% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 17.7% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 5.5% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 25.1% | 21.0% | 19.2% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Mary Cummins | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 42.3% |
| Sarah Fiske | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 23.1% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.