Race 13B

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Adam Ceely 17.1% 15.5% 15.5% 12.3% 10.7% 10.3% 6.9% 5.0% 3.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Proctor 20.2% 17.5% 15.3% 12.8% 11.5% 8.9% 5.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Nilsen 9.7% 11.2% 9.5% 12.0% 10.9% 10.4% 9.8% 9.5% 9.0% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Molly Haley 4.2% 6.7% 7.0% 6.9% 7.9% 9.1% 10.2% 11.8% 10.8% 11.6% 9.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 11.5% 14.9% 14.0% 12.4% 11.0% 10.3% 9.8% 7.5% 3.9% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Titcomb 9.1% 8.5% 9.9% 10.9% 10.6% 10.6% 11.0% 9.5% 8.3% 6.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
David Coplon 11.2% 12.2% 10.4% 12.8% 10.7% 10.3% 10.4% 9.0% 6.0% 3.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
William Kresic 3.2% 2.7% 3.3% 4.0% 5.0% 4.8% 7.3% 7.1% 10.8% 14.0% 16.7% 13.6% 6.1% 1.4%
Richard Sant 5.3% 2.2% 5.4% 4.9% 8.0% 7.6% 9.8% 10.7% 14.5% 13.1% 10.5% 5.5% 2.2% 0.3%
Collin Clark 5.0% 4.8% 5.8% 7.3% 7.8% 9.8% 9.7% 11.8% 12.8% 12.4% 7.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2%
Harmen Rockler 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 2.7% 4.7% 4.8% 7.1% 8.8% 12.8% 19.3% 19.1% 10.6% 2.4%
Dylan Russell 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 1.9% 3.0% 3.4% 5.2% 7.5% 15.4% 26.4% 21.5% 10.1%
Dylan Ackermamn 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 2.1% 2.3% 4.3% 5.9% 14.6% 33.2% 32.8%
Paul Guentert 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 1.8% 3.0% 5.0% 9.9% 23.5% 52.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.