Race 1A

maisa-women-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mary Hall 15.1% 18.1% 16.2% 15.9% 11.9% 10.0% 6.2% 3.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Kayla McComb 11.5% 16.2% 15.9% 13.0% 12.3% 11.8% 8.5% 6.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Sydney Bolger 37.9% 23.0% 16.5% 10.4% 6.7% 3.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.5% 7.0% 10.6% 11.7% 11.1% 11.4% 13.5% 11.0% 8.5% 6.3% 2.6% 0.8%
Corina Radtke 6.2% 8.6% 9.5% 10.5% 12.5% 12.5% 10.7% 10.6% 9.4% 5.6% 3.6% 0.3%
Christina Johns 2.9% 3.0% 4.0% 4.9% 5.9% 7.3% 9.4% 10.6% 15.3% 17.8% 13.9% 5.0%
Arielle DeLisser 7.9% 9.4% 11.0% 9.8% 11.9% 11.9% 10.9% 12.1% 7.9% 3.9% 2.7% 0.6%
Mildred Conroy 4.2% 4.9% 5.6% 7.9% 7.9% 8.6% 11.3% 13.1% 13.7% 12.8% 7.4% 2.6%
Irene Jacqz 4.3% 4.3% 5.1% 9.6% 10.9% 10.5% 12.7% 13.4% 12.9% 11.2% 4.2% 0.9%
Kathleen Hilton 2.6% 3.5% 3.6% 3.2% 5.1% 6.4% 8.4% 10.0% 13.9% 17.6% 17.9% 7.8%
Mary Buhl 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.7% 3.0% 3.6% 4.8% 6.3% 8.9% 15.1% 29.2% 23.4%
Kaitlynn Menoche 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 0.8% 2.2% 2.4% 2.9% 3.9% 8.0% 17.9% 58.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.