Race 2A

maisa-women-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sydney Bolger 36.0% 27.0% 15.8% 9.6% 6.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Hall 16.7% 16.5% 16.7% 16.0% 10.7% 10.8% 6.5% 3.3% 1.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Kayla McComb 14.3% 12.7% 16.4% 12.2% 13.7% 12.5% 9.0% 5.2% 2.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Arielle DeLisser 5.4% 8.6% 11.5% 11.7% 12.7% 11.1% 12.3% 10.1% 8.0% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Corina Radtke 7.3% 7.6% 9.9% 11.1% 11.0% 12.9% 10.6% 10.2% 9.3% 5.8% 4.0% 0.3%
Christina Johns 2.7% 2.9% 4.5% 5.1% 6.2% 6.2% 9.0% 12.2% 14.9% 17.0% 13.4% 5.9%
Jennifer Borshoff 6.8% 10.2% 8.3% 10.7% 11.6% 11.2% 12.2% 11.0% 9.5% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8%
Kathleen Hilton 2.0% 3.4% 3.5% 4.6% 3.7% 6.7% 8.9% 10.3% 12.8% 19.3% 16.9% 7.9%
Irene Jacqz 3.9% 5.3% 4.7% 8.5% 11.3% 12.1% 11.3% 14.2% 12.0% 9.9% 5.8% 1.0%
Mary Buhl 1.0% 1.2% 3.2% 2.3% 2.5% 3.3% 5.5% 7.3% 9.7% 14.4% 27.0% 22.6%
Mildred Conroy 3.4% 3.8% 5.0% 7.1% 7.9% 8.8% 11.0% 13.0% 14.9% 13.1% 9.2% 2.8%
Kaitlynn Menoche 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 1.1% 2.1% 1.7% 2.3% 2.5% 4.1% 7.6% 18.6% 58.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.