Race 3A

maisa-women-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sydney Bolger 35.3% 25.4% 16.9% 10.2% 6.2% 3.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Hall 15.8% 18.0% 16.3% 14.3% 11.5% 10.4% 7.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 7.5% 5.9% 9.7% 10.8% 10.8% 12.3% 13.3% 11.2% 11.1% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6%
Mildred Conroy 2.9% 4.5% 5.1% 6.8% 8.8% 10.5% 12.6% 12.4% 12.5% 13.4% 8.5% 2.0%
Corina Radtke 6.6% 8.3% 9.3% 11.8% 12.2% 10.2% 12.3% 11.9% 8.7% 4.9% 3.3% 0.5%
Arielle DeLisser 8.0% 8.6% 8.5% 11.4% 11.8% 12.4% 11.3% 12.0% 8.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.2%
Christina Johns 3.4% 3.4% 3.9% 5.0% 7.0% 8.3% 7.9% 11.1% 15.2% 16.0% 13.4% 5.4%
Mary Buhl 1.1% 1.4% 2.9% 2.1% 3.9% 3.3% 4.5% 7.7% 9.1% 13.5% 28.2% 22.3%
Kayla McComb 12.8% 15.7% 17.2% 15.4% 12.1% 10.7% 7.1% 4.5% 2.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Kathleen Hilton 2.5% 3.1% 3.6% 3.1% 5.4% 6.6% 8.4% 9.4% 13.5% 18.8% 17.6% 8.0%
Irene Jacqz 3.6% 5.0% 6.1% 7.5% 8.9% 10.2% 11.3% 13.0% 12.5% 13.3% 6.4% 2.2%
Kaitlynn Menoche 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 1.6% 1.4% 1.3% 2.4% 2.7% 3.8% 8.2% 18.2% 58.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.