Race 4A

maisa-women-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sydney Bolger 34.5% 24.4% 18.5% 11.8% 5.2% 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Hall 15.1% 18.1% 15.2% 15.5% 12.3% 11.0% 6.9% 3.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Christina Johns 3.3% 3.2% 4.3% 4.9% 5.8% 6.9% 7.8% 11.0% 14.8% 18.2% 15.2% 4.6%
Corina Radtke 4.9% 8.1% 9.9% 12.0% 11.0% 12.5% 12.7% 9.6% 10.0% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6%
Irene Jacqz 4.0% 5.5% 7.0% 7.1% 9.5% 10.1% 10.7% 15.2% 12.1% 10.5% 6.4% 1.9%
Arielle DeLisser 7.7% 9.3% 8.7% 9.4% 12.4% 13.3% 12.3% 10.4% 8.8% 6.1% 1.6% 0.0%
Kathleen Hilton 3.0% 3.0% 2.7% 4.2% 5.8% 7.3% 7.0% 11.9% 12.1% 18.0% 17.7% 7.3%
Mildred Conroy 4.1% 4.8% 6.0% 6.8% 8.4% 8.8% 12.1% 12.7% 14.8% 11.0% 7.8% 2.7%
Kayla McComb 13.1% 15.2% 16.2% 14.6% 14.7% 9.6% 8.4% 4.3% 2.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 8.1% 6.4% 10.0% 10.4% 12.1% 11.3% 12.8% 12.3% 7.9% 4.8% 3.1% 0.8%
Mary Buhl 1.8% 1.4% 0.8% 2.0% 1.7% 4.7% 5.1% 5.4% 10.5% 15.7% 27.5% 23.4%
Kaitlynn Menoche 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 1.5% 2.5% 3.3% 4.5% 7.4% 18.0% 58.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.