Race 5A

maisa-women-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sydney Bolger 33.6% 29.7% 14.2% 10.3% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kayla McComb 12.0% 15.4% 15.7% 14.4% 12.2% 10.8% 9.9% 5.1% 2.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Mary Hall 18.0% 16.3% 17.4% 14.5% 12.9% 9.7% 5.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Arielle DeLisser 5.9% 8.9% 10.1% 11.8% 13.3% 12.1% 11.0% 10.8% 8.4% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4%
Jennifer Borshoff 6.8% 7.2% 9.7% 11.6% 11.4% 11.3% 12.6% 11.0% 8.0% 6.8% 3.4% 0.2%
Irene Jacqz 4.7% 4.2% 7.6% 7.3% 7.9% 11.1% 11.9% 11.8% 14.4% 10.4% 6.5% 2.2%
Mary Buhl 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 2.4% 3.4% 4.1% 4.6% 7.4% 8.8% 15.2% 26.7% 21.9%
Corina Radtke 8.5% 7.1% 9.8% 10.9% 11.8% 11.3% 12.0% 12.3% 7.5% 5.0% 3.2% 0.6%
Kathleen Hilton 2.3% 1.8% 3.2% 4.2% 4.4% 7.7% 8.7% 11.4% 14.8% 16.9% 18.3% 6.3%
Christina Johns 3.1% 3.1% 4.2% 4.2% 7.4% 6.5% 9.6% 11.0% 14.5% 16.8% 14.2% 5.4%
Mildred Conroy 3.4% 3.8% 5.0% 6.9% 7.8% 9.9% 10.5% 12.4% 15.6% 12.9% 8.7% 3.1%
Kaitlynn Menoche 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 1.5% 1.1% 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 3.8% 8.2% 16.9% 59.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.