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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.04+5.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+4.46vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+2.09vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.71+0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+4.61vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.45+2.87vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.45+3.38vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15+1.71vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.77+1.38vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.90-2.54vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.51-2.44vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.14-2.43vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.93-2.31vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.05-0.24vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University-1.38-7.21vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.13-5.09vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.20-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Brown University2.049.0%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Naval Academy2.049.7%1st Place
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5.09Cornell University2.3813.2%1st Place
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4.16Yale University2.7118.6%1st Place
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9.61University of Rhode Island0.994.3%1st Place
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8.87College of Charleston1.455.2%1st Place
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10.38University of Pennsylvania1.452.9%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University1.154.2%1st Place
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10.38Florida State University0.772.4%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University1.907.2%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College1.515.5%1st Place
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9.57Boston University1.144.0%1st Place
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10.69George Washington University0.933.0%1st Place
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13.76University of Michigan0.050.9%1st Place
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7.79Jacksonville University-1.386.0%1st Place
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10.91Fordham University1.132.5%1st Place
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13.5Washington College0.201.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.6% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Grace Squires | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 33.8% |
| Emily Allen | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 17.9% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.