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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+1.46vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.82vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.43+3.77vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+0.28vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.57vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.29+1.15vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.74+1.23vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.15+1.47vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85-3.36vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87-4.32vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.93vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.36-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Georgetown University4.510.4%1st Place
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3.82U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.77Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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4.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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5.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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7.15Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.23George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.47Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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5.64Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.68Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.85William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 35.3% | 25.9% | 17.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 14.9% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 1.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 12.0% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 7.8% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Mildred Conroy | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 6.7% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 27.5% | 22.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Christina Johns | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 5.8% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 17.7% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.