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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.30vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+3.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.15+6.76vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.71+0.41vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.45+3.93vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.04+0.14vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.14+2.52vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.20+5.49vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.77+1.55vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.13+1.04vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.90-3.64vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.93-1.24vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.05+0.42vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.51-5.60vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.99-5.14vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University-1.38-8.18vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.45-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.1%1st Place
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5.0Cornell University2.3814.0%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University1.153.8%1st Place
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4.41Yale University2.7116.8%1st Place
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8.93College of Charleston1.453.8%1st Place
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6.14Brown University2.0410.5%1st Place
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9.52Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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13.49Washington College0.201.6%1st Place
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10.55Florida State University0.772.9%1st Place
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11.04Fordham University1.132.2%1st Place
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7.36Harvard University1.906.7%1st Place
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10.76George Washington University0.932.8%1st Place
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13.42University of Michigan0.051.2%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College1.515.5%1st Place
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9.86University of Rhode Island0.993.6%1st Place
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7.82Jacksonville University-1.386.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Pennsylvania1.454.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.8% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 29.8% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 6.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 17.2% | 31.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Emily Allen | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.