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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.31vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.39vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+2.10vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.45+4.90vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.51+3.85vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.04+0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.45+3.21vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15+1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.05+4.70vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-0.34vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-1.50vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.90-4.53vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.77-2.55vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University-1.38-5.96vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.13-4.16vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.93-5.57vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.20-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31U. S. Naval Academy2.048.0%1st Place
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4.39Yale University2.7117.9%1st Place
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5.1Cornell University2.3814.8%1st Place
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8.9College of Charleston1.454.9%1st Place
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8.85Bowdoin College1.514.5%1st Place
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6.15Brown University2.0410.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Pennsylvania1.452.8%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University1.153.4%1st Place
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13.7University of Michigan0.051.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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9.5Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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7.47Harvard University1.907.4%1st Place
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10.45Florida State University0.773.3%1st Place
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8.04Jacksonville University-1.385.9%1st Place
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10.84Fordham University1.133.7%1st Place
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10.43George Washington University0.932.6%1st Place
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13.54Washington College0.201.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.9% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 32.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Emily Allen | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.