Race 7A

maisa-women-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sydney Bolger 35.7% 23.8% 16.8% 11.5% 6.9% 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kayla McComb 11.5% 16.4% 13.8% 15.0% 12.7% 12.7% 7.7% 5.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 7.2% 7.1% 9.1% 10.6% 11.1% 10.8% 13.0% 13.5% 10.3% 4.4% 2.6% 0.3%
Irene Jacqz 3.3% 5.3% 5.8% 7.8% 10.0% 11.2% 11.1% 13.7% 12.4% 11.4% 6.1% 1.9%
Mildred Conroy 3.3% 5.1% 5.8% 7.1% 8.7% 9.8% 10.2% 12.1% 14.4% 11.6% 8.5% 3.4%
Corina Radtke 6.9% 8.7% 9.4% 8.7% 10.9% 13.2% 13.4% 12.5% 8.0% 5.7% 2.3% 0.3%
Arielle DeLisser 7.8% 8.5% 11.5% 11.5% 11.8% 10.5% 12.0% 10.1% 8.3% 4.9% 2.7% 0.4%
Mary Buhl 0.7% 1.6% 2.2% 3.2% 4.2% 3.3% 4.9% 6.2% 9.2% 14.9% 28.0% 21.6%
Mary Hall 17.2% 18.7% 16.4% 16.0% 11.2% 8.6% 6.3% 2.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Christina Johns 3.5% 2.7% 4.8% 4.5% 6.6% 7.1% 8.2% 12.9% 15.0% 17.0% 12.3% 5.4%
Kathleen Hilton 2.4% 1.3% 3.8% 3.0% 4.8% 7.6% 8.7% 8.3% 12.6% 19.7% 19.1% 8.7%
Kaitlynn Menoche 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 2.4% 2.8% 1.8% 4.5% 8.4% 18.0% 58.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.