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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+1.48vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.29+5.11vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.55vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+1.80vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.87+0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.94vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-2.78vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.43-1.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.34vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.74-1.73vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.15-1.32vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.36-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Georgetown University4.510.4%1st Place
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7.11Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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5.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.8Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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5.75Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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4.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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6.72Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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3.66U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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8.27George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.68Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.82William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 35.5% | 23.5% | 18.3% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Christina Johns | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 5.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Mary Hall | 16.7% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 7.6% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 28.8% | 23.4% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 17.3% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.