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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.45+7.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+4.43vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+1.16vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+3.43vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.77+5.61vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.51+2.84vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+0.85vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.04-1.84vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38-3.97vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.15-0.52vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.45-0.82vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.05+1.58vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-3.58vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.13-2.86vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.93-4.14vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.20-2.59vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.99-7.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74College of Charleston1.454.5%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Naval Academy2.048.5%1st Place
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4.16Yale University2.7119.1%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University1.906.9%1st Place
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10.61Florida State University0.772.8%1st Place
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8.84Bowdoin College1.514.5%1st Place
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7.85Jacksonville University-1.385.5%1st Place
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6.16Brown University2.049.6%1st Place
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5.03Cornell University2.3814.2%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University1.153.5%1st Place
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10.18University of Pennsylvania1.453.6%1st Place
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13.58University of Michigan0.051.4%1st Place
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9.42Boston University1.144.0%1st Place
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11.14Fordham University1.132.7%1st Place
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10.86George Washington University0.933.5%1st Place
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13.41Washington College0.201.4%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island0.994.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.1% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Emily Allen | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 31.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 30.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.