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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+1.44vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.82vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.87+2.70vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+0.28vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.59vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.29+1.14vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.85-1.37vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.43-1.28vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.74-0.69vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.15-0.45vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.36-0.14vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.95-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Georgetown University4.510.4%1st Place
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3.82U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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5.7Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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5.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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7.14Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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5.63Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.72Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.31George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.55Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.86William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 35.5% | 26.0% | 17.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 15.4% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 12.1% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Mildred Conroy | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 2.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 6.4% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 27.8% | 22.5% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 16.5% | 60.4% |
| Christina Johns | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.