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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.45+7.78vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+3.06vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.99+6.74vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.37vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.51+3.65vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.20+7.54vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93+3.78vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.45+2.14vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.77+1.60vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.15-0.60vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.71-6.67vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.05+1.59vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.04-6.83vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.14-4.41vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.90-7.67vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University-1.38-8.00vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.13-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78College of Charleston1.454.7%1st Place
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5.06Cornell University2.3813.6%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Naval Academy2.048.0%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College1.516.2%1st Place
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13.54Washington College0.200.9%1st Place
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10.78George Washington University0.932.4%1st Place
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10.14University of Pennsylvania1.453.3%1st Place
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10.6Florida State University0.772.8%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University1.153.8%1st Place
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4.33Yale University2.7119.1%1st Place
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13.59University of Michigan0.051.5%1st Place
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6.17Brown University2.049.7%1st Place
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9.59Boston University1.144.8%1st Place
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7.33Harvard University1.906.8%1st Place
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8.0Jacksonville University-1.386.2%1st Place
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10.94Fordham University1.133.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Bridget Green | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Kennedy Jones | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 29.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 33.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Emily Allen | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.