Race 10A

maisa-women-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sydney Bolger 34.5% 26.5% 17.7% 9.6% 5.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Hall 16.2% 16.3% 17.6% 16.7% 11.2% 9.7% 5.3% 3.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Arielle DeLisser 8.9% 6.7% 9.6% 10.0% 12.2% 13.3% 13.0% 10.8% 8.9% 4.9% 1.3% 0.4%
Corina Radtke 5.2% 8.9% 9.1% 12.3% 12.6% 11.3% 11.3% 10.2% 9.1% 7.2% 2.1% 0.7%
Mildred Conroy 3.6% 4.9% 5.3% 7.3% 8.7% 9.0% 10.6% 12.1% 13.3% 13.6% 8.0% 3.6%
Kayla McComb 13.4% 15.6% 13.9% 13.0% 13.9% 11.7% 8.1% 6.1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Mary Buhl 1.3% 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 3.1% 3.2% 4.7% 7.8% 10.1% 15.5% 26.2% 21.5%
Jennifer Borshoff 8.0% 7.9% 9.2% 11.6% 11.0% 11.2% 12.3% 10.7% 9.5% 5.4% 2.9% 0.3%
Irene Jacqz 3.6% 5.0% 6.9% 7.9% 9.9% 11.4% 12.2% 13.0% 13.2% 10.7% 5.4% 0.8%
Kathleen Hilton 2.1% 3.0% 4.0% 3.9% 4.6% 6.4% 8.1% 9.6% 13.9% 17.3% 19.6% 7.5%
Christina Johns 2.8% 2.7% 3.4% 4.0% 5.7% 7.7% 10.0% 13.3% 12.9% 16.0% 15.1% 6.4%
Kaitlynn Menoche 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 2.9% 2.3% 3.7% 7.3% 18.9% 58.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.