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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+3.34vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.80vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.54vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.29+3.12vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.87+0.71vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.51-3.54vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.74+1.27vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.43-1.31vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.15+0.54vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.11vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.36-0.16vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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3.8U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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5.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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7.12Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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5.71Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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2.46Georgetown University4.510.4%1st Place
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8.27George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.69Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.54Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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10.84William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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5.8Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McComb | 12.0% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mary Hall | 15.5% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 2.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 35.9% | 24.8% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 8.4% |
| Irene Jacqz | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 28.7% | 20.3% |
| Christina Johns | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 5.9% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 60.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.