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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.33vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+5.42vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+1.32vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+3.95vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.45+5.06vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.04+0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.99+2.67vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38-3.01vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.93+1.70vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.15-0.31vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.45-2.01vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.14-2.54vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.51-4.39vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.77-3.23vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.05-1.38vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.13-5.05vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.20-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33U. S. Naval Academy2.047.8%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University1.907.6%1st Place
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4.32Yale University2.7116.9%1st Place
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7.95Jacksonville University-1.385.5%1st Place
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10.06University of Pennsylvania1.453.6%1st Place
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6.04Brown University2.049.8%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island0.993.8%1st Place
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4.99Cornell University2.3816.0%1st Place
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10.7George Washington University0.932.6%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University1.153.7%1st Place
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8.99College of Charleston1.455.1%1st Place
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9.46Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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8.61Bowdoin College1.516.2%1st Place
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10.77Florida State University0.772.4%1st Place
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13.62University of Michigan0.051.0%1st Place
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10.95Fordham University1.132.9%1st Place
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13.45Washington College0.201.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.9% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Bridget Green | 16.0% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Grace Squires | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 30.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 7.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 16.2% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.