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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.29+6.17vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.81vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51-0.53vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.43+2.76vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.56vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.87-0.30vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-2.81vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85-2.35vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.15+0.52vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.15vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.74-2.52vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.36-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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3.81U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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2.47Georgetown University4.510.4%1st Place
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6.76Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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5.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.7Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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5.65Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.52Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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8.48George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.81William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mildred Conroy | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Mary Hall | 14.6% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 36.0% | 24.6% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Kayla McComb | 12.8% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 27.2% | 20.1% |
| Christina Johns | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 5.8% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 9.4% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 17.6% | 59.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.