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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.43vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.38vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+3.23vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+3.31vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+0.06vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.51+2.43vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.13+3.78vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14+1.43vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.69+2.01vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.05+3.60vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.45-2.44vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.45-1.93vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-3.40vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University-1.38-6.22vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.77-4.56vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.20-2.64vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.93-6.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43U. S. Naval Academy2.049.7%1st Place
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4.38Yale University2.7117.9%1st Place
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6.23Brown University2.0410.0%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University1.907.5%1st Place
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5.06Cornell University2.3812.7%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College1.514.8%1st Place
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10.78Fordham University1.132.5%1st Place
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9.43Boston University1.143.9%1st Place
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11.01Tufts University0.692.7%1st Place
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13.6University of Michigan0.051.0%1st Place
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8.56College of Charleston1.455.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Pennsylvania1.453.8%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island0.994.3%1st Place
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7.78Jacksonville University-1.386.6%1st Place
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10.44Florida State University0.773.1%1st Place
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13.36Washington College0.201.2%1st Place
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10.53George Washington University0.933.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.9% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.0% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 31.4% |
| Grace Squires | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Emily Allen | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.9% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 29.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.