Race 1B

maisa-women-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nancy Hagood 18.0% 15.0% 16.3% 14.5% 11.7% 9.2% 6.2% 5.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Catherine Shanahan 13.7% 14.8% 13.0% 12.7% 12.9% 9.2% 10.2% 7.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.2%
Mackenzie Needham 5.3% 4.9% 5.6% 6.7% 7.9% 7.3% 9.5% 13.8% 12.5% 14.4% 10.4% 1.7%
Rachel Austin 5.4% 8.8% 9.8% 9.1% 10.3% 11.7% 12.0% 11.4% 9.6% 7.2% 4.1% 0.6%
Brooke Lyon 8.5% 8.0% 8.4% 10.3% 10.6% 11.7% 11.5% 10.7% 9.6% 6.4% 3.5% 0.8%
Annie Eckmann 3.2% 3.4% 3.5% 6.0% 5.7% 5.3% 8.9% 9.6% 13.5% 18.8% 16.3% 5.8%
Marissa Lihan 13.0% 13.7% 11.6% 11.5% 12.2% 10.9% 9.1% 8.8% 5.0% 2.8% 1.4% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 21.7% 17.5% 14.6% 12.5% 10.3% 10.3% 5.6% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Emma Kofmehl 5.4% 8.5% 9.5% 9.7% 10.8% 11.6% 12.1% 10.8% 10.5% 7.3% 3.6% 0.2%
Alex Hitchcock 2.8% 2.6% 3.9% 3.0% 2.8% 5.8% 6.7% 9.0% 13.1% 16.4% 24.6% 9.3%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.5% 2.0% 3.1% 3.7% 3.8% 5.4% 6.4% 8.0% 14.5% 18.1% 22.8% 9.7%
Amanda Castagna 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 1.9% 3.0% 5.1% 11.8% 71.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.