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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.19vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.45+6.77vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+4.37vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.45+6.08vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.04+1.12vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.69+5.02vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93+3.54vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38-3.09vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.51-0.46vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.77+0.16vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.38-3.07vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.71-7.71vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-3.44vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.13-3.00vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.20-1.53vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.05-2.47vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.99-7.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19U. S. Naval Academy2.049.8%1st Place
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8.77College of Charleston1.454.5%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University1.907.5%1st Place
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10.08University of Pennsylvania1.453.5%1st Place
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6.12Brown University2.049.2%1st Place
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11.02Tufts University0.693.4%1st Place
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10.54George Washington University0.933.6%1st Place
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4.91Cornell University2.3814.5%1st Place
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8.54Bowdoin College1.514.9%1st Place
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10.16Florida State University0.773.5%1st Place
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7.93Jacksonville University-1.385.5%1st Place
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4.29Yale University2.7118.4%1st Place
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9.56Boston University1.143.6%1st Place
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11.0Fordham University1.132.4%1st Place
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13.47Washington College0.200.9%1st Place
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13.53University of Michigan0.051.2%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Squires | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 7.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Bridget Green | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| Emily Allen | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.4% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% |
| Kennedy Jones | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 30.0% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 17.6% | 31.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.