Race 2B

maisa-women-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nancy Hagood 18.0% 16.0% 15.8% 14.9% 12.0% 9.3% 5.8% 4.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 11.7% 12.6% 12.9% 12.6% 11.2% 10.6% 10.1% 8.4% 5.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Mackenzie Needham 5.5% 5.0% 4.8% 7.6% 7.3% 8.5% 9.1% 12.2% 14.6% 13.1% 10.1% 2.2%
Brooke Lyon 6.2% 8.8% 10.6% 9.7% 10.8% 10.4% 13.2% 9.7% 10.4% 6.4% 3.1% 0.7%
Emma Kofmehl 7.0% 8.0% 7.6% 9.7% 11.0% 9.3% 11.6% 12.0% 9.5% 7.1% 6.2% 1.0%
Catherine Shanahan 14.3% 12.7% 14.1% 13.0% 11.8% 12.9% 8.3% 6.0% 4.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 21.8% 18.7% 14.2% 13.5% 8.8% 8.9% 6.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Alex Hitchcock 2.1% 2.9% 4.3% 2.5% 4.9% 5.7% 6.2% 8.2% 11.4% 16.9% 24.4% 10.5%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.1% 2.9% 2.3% 3.1% 5.7% 5.4% 8.1% 10.3% 11.3% 20.0% 21.5% 7.3%
Annie Eckmann 3.9% 3.9% 4.0% 3.9% 6.4% 6.8% 7.2% 10.4% 14.3% 18.3% 15.8% 5.1%
Rachel Austin 6.8% 8.0% 8.5% 9.1% 9.4% 10.8% 11.5% 11.8% 12.1% 6.5% 4.3% 1.2%
Amanda Castagna 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.7% 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 3.1% 4.8% 11.9% 72.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.