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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+4.03vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.51+6.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+3.12vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.45+6.14vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.45+3.64vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04+0.41vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.20+6.40vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.90-0.75vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14+0.53vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.05+3.64vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.13-0.12vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.69-1.02vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.93-2.45vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University-1.38-6.18vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.77-4.68vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.99-6.45vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.71-12.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Cornell University2.3813.6%1st Place
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8.52Bowdoin College1.515.5%1st Place
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6.12Brown University2.049.5%1st Place
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10.14University of Pennsylvania1.453.4%1st Place
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8.64College of Charleston1.454.7%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Naval Academy2.049.8%1st Place
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13.4Washington College0.201.0%1st Place
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7.25Harvard University1.907.1%1st Place
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9.53Boston University1.144.4%1st Place
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13.64University of Michigan0.050.9%1st Place
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10.88Fordham University1.132.5%1st Place
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10.98Tufts University0.692.4%1st Place
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10.55George Washington University0.932.9%1st Place
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7.82Jacksonville University-1.386.5%1st Place
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10.32Florida State University0.773.3%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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4.23Yale University2.7118.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 13.6% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Grace Squires | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 17.1% | 28.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 31.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 7.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% |
| Emily Allen | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.4% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.