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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+4.00vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.24vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+2.95vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+3.87vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+4.49vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.45+4.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.65vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.51+0.36vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.77+1.57vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.90-2.69vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-1.43vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.13-1.33vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.20+0.42vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.69-2.98vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.45-6.31vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.93-5.34vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.05-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Cornell University2.3814.6%1st Place
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4.24Yale University2.7118.7%1st Place
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5.95Brown University2.0410.5%1st Place
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7.87Jacksonville University-1.385.9%1st Place
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9.49Boston University1.144.3%1st Place
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10.28University of Pennsylvania1.453.2%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Naval Academy2.048.2%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College1.515.9%1st Place
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10.57Florida State University0.772.9%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University1.908.2%1st Place
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9.57University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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10.67Fordham University1.132.6%1st Place
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13.42Washington College0.201.4%1st Place
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11.02Tufts University0.692.5%1st Place
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8.69College of Charleston1.454.3%1st Place
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10.66George Washington University0.932.2%1st Place
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13.55University of Michigan0.051.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 14.6% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.7% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 28.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% |
| Grace Squires | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 16.5% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.