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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+2.72vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.34+4.01vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+0.96vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+1.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.29vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.61vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.40-1.32vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.92-1.07vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.55-1.03vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.24-1.55vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.30-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Cornell University3.350.2%1st Place
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6.01University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
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3.96Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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5.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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4.71U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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4.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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5.68Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.93Washington College1.920.1%1st Place
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7.97Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.45George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.24Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 17.7% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 15.9% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Lyon | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 13.9% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 14.4% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Austin | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 10.7% |
| Annie Eckmann | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 19.0% | 20.6% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 31.8% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 19.2% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.