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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+6.83vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.27vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.51+5.50vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+5.53vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38-0.07vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04+0.30vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.20+6.48vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.77+2.33vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.90-1.69vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.04-3.83vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.45-0.89vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-2.46vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.13-2.05vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.45-5.38vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.05-1.48vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.93-5.44vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.69-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83Jacksonville University-1.385.7%1st Place
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4.27Yale University2.7118.6%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College1.515.5%1st Place
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9.53Boston University1.144.5%1st Place
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4.93Cornell University2.3814.6%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Naval Academy2.049.2%1st Place
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13.48Washington College0.201.3%1st Place
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10.33Florida State University0.772.7%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University1.906.7%1st Place
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6.17Brown University2.049.2%1st Place
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10.11University of Pennsylvania1.453.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
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10.95Fordham University1.132.9%1st Place
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8.62College of Charleston1.454.9%1st Place
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13.52University of Michigan0.051.1%1st Place
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10.56George Washington University0.932.7%1st Place
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11.07Tufts University0.693.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.6% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Bridget Green | 14.6% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 29.2% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Grace Squires | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 30.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.