Race 4B

maisa-women-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nancy Hagood 16.4% 17.5% 15.4% 15.0% 12.1% 9.0% 6.9% 4.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Lauren Turner 20.3% 19.5% 15.8% 11.2% 12.5% 8.2% 6.1% 3.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Mackenzie Needham 4.4% 4.8% 5.9% 5.9% 5.6% 8.5% 11.0% 12.6% 15.2% 13.5% 12.6%
Catherine Shanahan 13.4% 12.1% 12.7% 15.1% 12.5% 10.2% 9.5% 7.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6%
Marissa Lihan 14.4% 10.9% 12.1% 12.0% 12.0% 11.2% 8.6% 9.3% 5.7% 2.9% 0.9%
Rachel Austin 7.2% 8.4% 8.6% 8.6% 11.7% 10.2% 11.7% 12.0% 9.3% 8.5% 3.8%
Mary Margaret Meehan 3.1% 3.7% 2.7% 3.4% 4.5% 6.5% 8.3% 9.8% 12.9% 17.7% 27.4%
Emma Kofmehl 7.3% 8.0% 9.3% 10.6% 10.3% 10.5% 10.5% 9.9% 11.2% 8.5% 3.9%
Brooke Lyon 7.6% 8.6% 9.5% 9.6% 9.2% 12.7% 11.2% 11.1% 9.1% 7.3% 4.1%
Alex Hitchcock 2.6% 2.3% 3.3% 3.7% 4.2% 5.9% 7.2% 8.4% 12.7% 20.0% 29.7%
Annie Eckmann 3.3% 4.2% 4.7% 4.9% 5.4% 7.1% 9.0% 11.5% 15.1% 18.3% 16.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.