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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+3.99vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.51+6.66vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.45+6.26vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+2.37vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.45+2.85vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+0.97vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.04-1.74vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.04-2.61vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.15-0.38vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.77-0.46vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-2.34vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.05+0.57vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.20-0.54vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.93-4.39vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.13-5.12vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.14-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Cornell University2.3814.1%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College1.515.3%1st Place
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4.44Yale University2.7116.5%1st Place
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10.26University of Pennsylvania1.453.5%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University1.906.9%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston1.454.3%1st Place
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7.97Jacksonville University-1.386.7%1st Place
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6.26Brown University2.049.1%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Naval Academy2.049.0%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University1.154.2%1st Place
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10.54Florida State University0.772.9%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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13.57University of Michigan0.051.1%1st Place
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13.46Washington College0.201.4%1st Place
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10.61George Washington University0.933.2%1st Place
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10.88Fordham University1.133.5%1st Place
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9.46Boston University1.144.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 14.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.5% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Grace Squires | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Emily Allen | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 31.7% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 30.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.