Race 5B

maisa-women-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marissa Lihan 12.4% 12.1% 10.4% 11.0% 14.2% 9.7% 10.4% 9.9% 5.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Lauren Turner 18.4% 18.5% 15.9% 15.2% 9.0% 9.8% 6.0% 4.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 14.8% 12.5% 14.8% 11.3% 11.2% 11.5% 11.4% 5.4% 4.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Nancy Hagood 17.2% 18.3% 15.9% 13.1% 11.8% 8.7% 6.9% 4.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Rachel Austin 7.8% 7.6% 10.0% 7.9% 11.4% 9.6% 10.9% 11.9% 10.0% 8.2% 4.2% 0.5%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.2% 3.2% 2.9% 4.7% 3.8% 5.3% 6.4% 8.9% 11.2% 18.1% 24.3% 9.0%
Brooke Lyon 8.7% 8.8% 10.2% 9.6% 10.1% 11.3% 11.1% 11.3% 9.2% 6.0% 2.9% 0.8%
Annie Eckmann 3.9% 3.6% 3.6% 5.5% 5.6% 7.9% 7.2% 8.8% 14.8% 17.1% 17.2% 4.8%
Mackenzie Needham 4.1% 3.9% 5.3% 8.4% 8.6% 9.6% 10.6% 11.7% 14.8% 13.2% 7.9% 1.9%
Emma Kofmehl 7.6% 7.9% 7.9% 9.5% 9.5% 11.1% 11.2% 11.7% 11.2% 7.5% 4.0% 0.9%
Amanda Castagna 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 1.3% 2.0% 3.7% 4.5% 11.9% 72.0%
Alex Hitchcock 2.2% 2.9% 2.7% 3.1% 3.7% 4.5% 6.6% 9.5% 11.3% 19.0% 24.8% 9.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.