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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+3.28vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.45+8.30vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+3.45vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+3.47vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93+5.61vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38-0.97vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+1.04vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.51+0.65vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.13+1.84vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.04-3.72vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-1.34vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.14-2.36vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.45-4.24vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.77-3.51vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.20-1.42vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.05-2.40vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.15-7.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Yale University2.7117.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Pennsylvania1.453.5%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Naval Academy2.049.7%1st Place
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7.47Harvard University1.907.1%1st Place
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10.61George Washington University0.932.7%1st Place
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5.03Cornell University2.3814.4%1st Place
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8.04Jacksonville University-1.385.9%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College1.515.1%1st Place
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10.84Fordham University1.133.0%1st Place
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6.28Brown University2.048.9%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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9.64Boston University1.143.4%1st Place
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8.76College of Charleston1.455.0%1st Place
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10.49Florida State University0.772.8%1st Place
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13.58Washington College0.201.3%1st Place
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13.6University of Michigan0.051.1%1st Place
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9.33Tufts University1.154.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.0% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 3.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 5.9% |
| Bridget Green | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 6.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Grace Squires | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 31.6% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 32.6% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.