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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+2.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.69vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+0.97vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+1.96vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.30+3.39vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.40-0.08vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-2.78vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.92-1.10vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.34-2.89vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.24-1.55vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.55-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Cornell University3.350.2%1st Place
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4.69U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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3.97Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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5.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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8.39Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.92Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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6.9Washington College1.920.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
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8.45George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.69Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 17.6% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 16.9% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 19.3% | 29.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 15.9% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 10.2% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 19.3% | 30.5% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 19.3% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.