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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+3.32vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+5.88vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+2.03vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.77+6.15vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.45+3.81vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.51+2.44vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.90+0.35vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.52vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14+0.78vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.93+0.64vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.04-4.80vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.15-2.27vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-3.29vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.20-0.54vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.13-3.93vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.45-5.70vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.05-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Yale University2.7118.1%1st Place
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7.88Jacksonville University-1.386.5%1st Place
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5.03Cornell University2.3814.4%1st Place
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10.15Florida State University0.773.4%1st Place
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8.81College of Charleston1.454.5%1st Place
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8.44Bowdoin College1.516.2%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University1.906.7%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Naval Academy2.048.6%1st Place
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9.78Boston University1.144.1%1st Place
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10.64George Washington University0.932.2%1st Place
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6.2Brown University2.0410.4%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University1.153.3%1st Place
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9.71University of Rhode Island0.994.1%1st Place
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13.46Washington College0.201.6%1st Place
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11.07Fordham University1.132.3%1st Place
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10.3University of Pennsylvania1.452.7%1st Place
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13.63University of Michigan0.051.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.1% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Bridget Green | 14.4% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Grace Squires | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 17.1% | 28.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.