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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.47+3.47vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+0.89vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+0.77vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.94+0.46vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29-2.73vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.41-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
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2.89Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
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3.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
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3.53Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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5.46University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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3.27Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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4.59Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Baxter | 10.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 18.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 24.1% | 24.1% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 13.8% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 8.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 17.6% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 5.5% |
| Mary Cummins | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 20.3% | 41.2% |
| Emily Billing | 20.8% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Fiske | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 20.7% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.