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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Marissa Lihan 10.6% 12.8% 12.0% 12.6% 13.1% 11.4% 11.7% 7.4% 5.1% 2.8% 0.5%
Mackenzie Needham 4.8% 4.5% 5.3% 7.3% 8.6% 7.7% 10.2% 12.5% 15.4% 13.7% 10.0%
Rachel Austin 7.8% 6.8% 8.5% 8.0% 9.7% 11.8% 11.9% 12.8% 10.6% 8.0% 4.1%
Nancy Hagood 16.5% 16.9% 14.4% 15.3% 11.2% 10.4% 6.3% 5.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.4%
Lauren Turner 21.0% 18.0% 14.8% 12.8% 11.4% 7.8% 7.0% 3.4% 2.1% 1.3% 0.4%
Catherine Shanahan 13.9% 15.1% 14.0% 13.5% 10.5% 10.8% 7.9% 5.3% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7%
Brooke Lyon 9.3% 8.0% 10.6% 10.4% 10.1% 10.5% 12.7% 10.9% 9.0% 5.0% 3.5%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.4% 2.8% 3.6% 3.6% 4.3% 6.4% 7.3% 9.8% 13.1% 19.4% 27.3%
Alex Hitchcock 2.4% 2.9% 2.5% 3.8% 3.7% 5.4% 6.2% 8.5% 11.9% 21.3% 31.4%
Annie Eckmann 3.2% 4.4% 4.0% 4.7% 6.8% 7.3% 7.9% 11.7% 14.0% 17.2% 18.8%
Emma Kofmehl 8.1% 7.8% 10.3% 8.0% 10.6% 10.5% 10.9% 12.3% 10.4% 8.2% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.