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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.32vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+2.99vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+1.25vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.77+6.44vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.45+3.85vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.45+4.24vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.99+2.58vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.04-1.71vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-1.38-1.04vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51-1.53vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-1.32vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.13-1.09vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.05+0.71vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.20-0.34vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.15-5.33vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.93-5.40vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.90-9.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32U. S. Naval Academy2.048.5%1st Place
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4.99Cornell University2.3814.2%1st Place
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4.25Yale University2.7118.9%1st Place
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10.44Florida State University0.772.9%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston1.455.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Pennsylvania1.452.9%1st Place
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9.58University of Rhode Island0.993.6%1st Place
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6.29Brown University2.049.2%1st Place
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7.96Jacksonville University-1.386.2%1st Place
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8.47Bowdoin College1.515.0%1st Place
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9.68Boston University1.143.8%1st Place
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10.91Fordham University1.132.5%1st Place
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13.71University of Michigan0.051.7%1st Place
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13.66Washington College0.201.1%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University1.154.1%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University0.933.0%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University1.907.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.9% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Grace Squires | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emily Allen | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 6.6% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 34.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 18.2% | 30.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.