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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.27vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.72+4.49vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.84+3.75vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.99+1.40vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+0.75vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.82+3.41vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93+1.53vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10-2.51vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.71+0.69vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.05+1.74vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.68-4.72vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.12-0.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.18-4.56vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.07-5.43vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-0.64-1.59vs Predicted
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16Washington College-3.22+0.58vs Predicted
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17Boston University-1.31-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Yale University2.5516.6%1st Place
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6.49University of Pennsylvania1.729.4%1st Place
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6.75Bowdoin College1.847.4%1st Place
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5.4Brown University1.9911.8%1st Place
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5.75College of Charleston1.819.9%1st Place
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9.41Jacksonville University0.823.5%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University0.934.5%1st Place
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5.49Harvard University2.1012.0%1st Place
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9.69Fordham University0.713.0%1st Place
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11.74Florida State University0.051.8%1st Place
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6.28Cornell University1.688.3%1st Place
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11.63University of Rhode Island0.121.6%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Naval Academy1.184.3%1st Place
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8.57George Washington University1.074.7%1st Place
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13.41University of Michigan-0.640.5%1st Place
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16.58Washington College-3.220.0%1st Place
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14.57Boston University-1.310.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.6% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 8.0% | 0.8% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 8.0% | 0.5% |
| Ava Farley | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 26.1% | 24.2% | 4.2% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 9.8% | 82.5% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 44.1% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.