Race 10B

maisa-women-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Catherine Shanahan 14.1% 15.5% 13.7% 13.1% 12.6% 9.6% 7.7% 6.6% 4.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Amanda Taselaar 9.9% 11.5% 12.4% 12.1% 11.1% 11.1% 9.5% 7.7% 7.4% 4.6% 2.6% 0.1%
Marissa Lihan 13.1% 12.4% 13.8% 12.0% 11.3% 10.6% 9.8% 8.3% 4.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.2%
Rachel Austin 6.1% 8.2% 10.0% 12.0% 8.6% 11.4% 11.3% 10.4% 10.0% 6.5% 4.5% 1.0%
Annie Eckmann 3.3% 4.0% 4.0% 4.9% 5.8% 7.8% 7.3% 10.8% 10.8% 16.2% 16.9% 8.2%
Emma Kofmehl 8.5% 7.7% 8.6% 7.1% 9.9% 10.3% 11.2% 12.2% 9.7% 7.7% 5.8% 1.3%
Mary Margaret Meehan 3.6% 2.4% 2.9% 4.4% 5.6% 5.8% 6.8% 8.2% 12.1% 14.9% 18.7% 14.6%
Mackenzie Needham 6.8% 4.7% 6.3% 7.3% 7.5% 7.3% 10.2% 11.5% 12.8% 12.0% 9.7% 3.9%
Lauren Turner 21.5% 21.6% 14.9% 11.7% 12.6% 7.6% 4.3% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Hitchcock 3.6% 2.6% 3.0% 3.6% 4.4% 4.9% 7.5% 7.0% 10.6% 17.7% 20.2% 14.9%
Meghan Tamminen 1.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 3.1% 3.7% 5.3% 8.5% 17.5% 54.3%
Brooke Lyon 8.0% 8.5% 9.4% 10.6% 9.0% 12.2% 11.3% 10.5% 10.6% 5.8% 2.9% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.