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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+4.47vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+3.54vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+2.82vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.68+2.26vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.41vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.93+2.79vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.55-2.93vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.84-1.37vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.18-0.87vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.07-1.29vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.82-1.70vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.12-0.61vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-0.64+0.39vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.05-1.97vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.31-0.22vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.71-6.31vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.22-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Harvard University2.1010.2%1st Place
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5.54Brown University1.9910.9%1st Place
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5.82College of Charleston1.819.8%1st Place
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6.26Cornell University1.688.6%1st Place
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6.41University of Pennsylvania1.728.6%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University0.933.6%1st Place
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4.07Yale University2.5519.6%1st Place
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6.63Bowdoin College1.848.3%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Naval Academy1.184.7%1st Place
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8.71George Washington University1.074.4%1st Place
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9.3Jacksonville University0.823.4%1st Place
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11.39University of Rhode Island0.121.9%1st Place
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13.39University of Michigan-0.640.5%1st Place
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12.03Florida State University0.051.6%1st Place
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14.78Boston University-1.310.4%1st Place
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9.69Fordham University0.713.5%1st Place
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16.59Washington College-3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 19.6% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 26.8% | 22.8% | 3.5% |
| Niah Ford | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 9.5% | 1.1% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 17.0% | 45.5% | 13.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 10.4% | 81.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.