Race 11B

maisa-women-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marissa Lihan 13.2% 11.0% 13.6% 12.7% 11.5% 10.3% 10.3% 7.2% 4.9% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Emma Kofmehl 6.4% 8.4% 9.6% 9.8% 9.7% 10.1% 11.6% 9.1% 12.0% 8.5% 3.8% 1.0%
Brooke Lyon 9.5% 7.7% 9.1% 10.5% 10.5% 10.8% 9.8% 12.4% 9.5% 6.0% 3.4% 0.8%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.2% 2.8% 2.2% 4.5% 4.0% 6.2% 7.5% 10.5% 11.3% 14.7% 18.8% 15.3%
Lauren Turner 20.5% 21.3% 16.0% 11.6% 9.8% 7.9% 5.4% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 15.1% 15.5% 13.0% 12.7% 13.7% 10.0% 7.3% 5.3% 4.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Mackenzie Needham 5.6% 6.3% 7.3% 5.4% 8.0% 9.0% 8.9% 12.0% 12.5% 12.0% 8.5% 4.5%
Rachel Austin 9.1% 9.1% 9.0% 9.8% 11.5% 8.8% 8.3% 12.1% 9.7% 7.0% 4.5% 1.1%
Annie Eckmann 3.1% 3.1% 4.5% 4.9% 6.5% 8.6% 9.3% 10.5% 11.1% 15.8% 16.3% 6.3%
Amanda Taselaar 11.5% 10.2% 12.5% 14.0% 9.5% 11.4% 10.2% 7.1% 6.3% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4%
Meghan Tamminen 1.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 2.5% 3.3% 2.5% 5.3% 8.8% 16.7% 55.3%
Alex Hitchcock 2.5% 3.3% 2.4% 3.2% 4.0% 4.4% 8.1% 7.8% 10.5% 15.2% 23.7% 14.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.