← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Amanda Taselaar 10.6% 10.3% 11.6% 11.7% 12.0% 11.3% 10.2% 9.5% 6.2% 3.2% 3.1% 0.3%
Marissa Lihan 12.8% 14.3% 11.6% 12.9% 13.5% 8.8% 9.2% 8.2% 5.1% 2.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Catherine Shanahan 16.0% 13.7% 15.5% 13.0% 10.5% 10.5% 8.7% 6.1% 3.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Rachel Austin 7.0% 8.8% 9.1% 10.9% 10.4% 10.8% 11.9% 9.1% 8.6% 8.7% 3.5% 1.2%
Lauren Turner 21.0% 19.8% 15.7% 12.4% 9.8% 8.6% 4.8% 3.8% 2.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Mackenzie Needham 5.0% 5.6% 6.3% 6.2% 6.4% 9.4% 9.7% 12.2% 12.1% 13.4% 9.8% 3.9%
Emma Kofmehl 8.1% 9.2% 8.5% 9.3% 9.9% 10.5% 9.7% 11.4% 9.9% 7.4% 4.1% 2.0%
Brooke Lyon 9.9% 8.8% 10.4% 9.1% 10.8% 10.2% 9.7% 10.0% 10.6% 6.1% 3.2% 1.2%
Annie Eckmann 2.9% 3.2% 4.4% 5.4% 6.2% 7.6% 9.1% 11.0% 13.0% 15.6% 14.7% 6.9%
Mary Margaret Meehan 3.0% 3.0% 3.7% 3.6% 4.1% 5.7% 7.6% 7.9% 12.0% 15.9% 20.1% 13.4%
Alex Hitchcock 2.9% 1.8% 2.3% 3.6% 4.6% 4.5% 7.0% 7.6% 12.3% 15.1% 20.8% 17.5%
Meghan Tamminen 0.8% 1.5% 0.9% 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 3.2% 4.5% 9.1% 18.3% 53.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.