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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.71+4.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.61vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+1.24vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.40+1.86vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.35-1.39vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.92+1.11vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.34-1.07vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-2.36vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.55-1.10vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.30-1.46vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.24-2.12vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.31-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.61U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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4.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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5.86Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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3.61Cornell University3.350.2%1st Place
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7.11Washington College1.920.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
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5.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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7.9Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.54Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.88George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.53William and Mary0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Taselaar | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 12.8% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 16.0% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Turner | 21.0% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Annie Eckmann | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 6.9% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 20.1% | 13.4% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 17.5% |
| Meghan Tamminen | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 18.3% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.