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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+3.11vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+8.46vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.37vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+3.29vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+2.23vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+0.60vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74+2.98vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-1.50vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.92-3.08vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92-0.75vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-1.73vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.93-2.74vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.51+0.94vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.64vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-2.05vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.23-7.82vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.35-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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10.46Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.37Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.29Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.23Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.6Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.98Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.5Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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13.94Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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12.95Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.18Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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14.35Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 20.4% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Powell | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Katii Gullick | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 20.0% | 29.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 5.2% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 17.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 18.4% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.