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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+4.49vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+4.50vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.13vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+4.60vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+0.80vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.10-0.42vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.96-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.72-1.44vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.71+0.67vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.12+1.54vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.07-2.24vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.18-3.42vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.82-3.72vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.05-1.88vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.31-0.32vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.65-2.71vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.22-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Brown University1.9910.5%1st Place
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6.5Bowdoin College1.849.0%1st Place
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4.13Yale University2.5518.9%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University0.934.6%1st Place
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5.8College of Charleston1.8110.3%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University2.1011.0%1st Place
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5.75Cornell University1.969.6%1st Place
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6.56University of Pennsylvania1.728.5%1st Place
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9.67Fordham University0.712.6%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island0.121.5%1st Place
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8.76George Washington University1.073.9%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Naval Academy1.183.4%1st Place
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9.28Jacksonville University0.823.8%1st Place
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12.12Florida State University0.051.2%1st Place
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14.68Boston University-1.310.5%1st Place
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13.29University of Michigan-0.650.8%1st Place
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16.66Washington College-3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.9% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 7.0% | 0.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 9.3% | 0.8% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 15.8% | 46.8% | 11.5% |
| Nina Gonzalez | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 27.0% | 22.6% | 3.2% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 9.6% | 83.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.