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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+4.62vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.12+9.46vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.19vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+4.48vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+1.78vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99-0.54vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.81-1.05vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.18+0.54vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.96-3.32vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.82-0.71vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.72-4.45vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.05-0.19vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.71-3.12vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.07-5.44vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.31-0.30vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.65-2.55vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.22-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Harvard University2.109.2%1st Place
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11.46University of Rhode Island0.122.0%1st Place
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4.19Yale University2.5519.6%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University0.934.4%1st Place
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6.78Bowdoin College1.847.8%1st Place
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5.46Brown University1.9911.2%1st Place
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5.95College of Charleston1.819.8%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Naval Academy1.184.5%1st Place
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5.68Cornell University1.9611.0%1st Place
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9.29Jacksonville University0.822.8%1st Place
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6.55University of Pennsylvania1.728.4%1st Place
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11.81Florida State University0.051.8%1st Place
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9.88Fordham University0.712.9%1st Place
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8.56George Washington University1.073.7%1st Place
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14.7Boston University-1.310.4%1st Place
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13.45University of Michigan-0.650.6%1st Place
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16.61Washington College-3.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 19.6% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 8.3% | 1.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 15.5% | 46.1% | 12.2% |
| Nina Gonzalez | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 26.6% | 23.6% | 3.5% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 10.4% | 82.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.