← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.99+4.61vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.55+2.19vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College1.84+3.73vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston1.81+1.80vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.54vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.10-0.43vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University0.93+1.74vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University0.05+3.78vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University0.71+0.86vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.96-4.24vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University0.82-1.65vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island0.12-0.55vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University1.07-4.37vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy1.18-5.62vs Predicted
-
15Boston University-1.31-0.34vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan-0.65-2.64vs Predicted
-
17Washington College-3.22-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.61Brown University1.9910.7%1st Place
-
4.19Yale University2.5517.6%1st Place
-
6.73Bowdoin College1.847.3%1st Place
-
5.8College of Charleston1.8111.5%1st Place
-
6.54University of Pennsylvania1.728.0%1st Place
-
5.57Harvard University2.1011.9%1st Place
-
8.74Tufts University0.933.6%1st Place
-
11.78Florida State University0.051.7%1st Place
-
9.86Fordham University0.713.4%1st Place
-
5.76Cornell University1.9610.0%1st Place
-
9.35Jacksonville University0.823.0%1st Place
-
11.45University of Rhode Island0.121.8%1st Place
-
8.63George Washington University1.073.4%1st Place
-
8.38U. S. Naval Academy1.185.0%1st Place
-
14.66Boston University-1.310.4%1st Place
-
13.36University of Michigan-0.650.7%1st Place
-
16.57Washington College-3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.6% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 11.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 9.2% | 1.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 0.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 15.9% | 46.0% | 11.6% |
| Nina Gonzalez | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 24.2% | 22.9% | 3.1% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 8.4% | 83.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.