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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+3.09vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+4.50vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.38vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.52vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+2.14vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.83+7.16vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.58+3.48vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-2.32vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+0.43vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-2.00vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.93-1.60vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.45-4.67vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-3.72vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-3.87vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.51-1.20vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.69vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.35-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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6.5Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.38Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.52Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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13.16Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.48Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.43Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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7.33Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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10.13Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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13.8Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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14.36Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 21.1% | 16.9% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 17.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Powell | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 29.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 6.1% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 18.9% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.