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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.96+4.68vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+3.34vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.84+3.53vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+0.20vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.93+3.92vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.81-0.20vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.82+2.36vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10-2.52vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.72-2.62vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.71-0.38vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.07-2.27vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.05+0.11vs Predicted
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13Washington College-0.68+0.51vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy0.52-3.76vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-0.64-1.20vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.12-3.97vs Predicted
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17Boston University-1.31-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Cornell University1.9610.2%1st Place
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5.34Brown University1.9911.5%1st Place
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6.53Bowdoin College1.848.5%1st Place
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4.2Yale University2.5518.2%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University0.934.3%1st Place
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5.8College of Charleston1.819.7%1st Place
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9.36Jacksonville University0.822.7%1st Place
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5.48Harvard University2.1010.7%1st Place
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6.38University of Pennsylvania1.7210.1%1st Place
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9.62Fordham University0.712.9%1st Place
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8.73George Washington University1.074.0%1st Place
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12.11Florida State University0.051.1%1st Place
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13.51Washington College-0.681.1%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Naval Academy0.522.5%1st Place
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13.8University of Michigan-0.640.8%1st Place
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12.03University of Rhode Island0.121.4%1st Place
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15.27Boston University-1.310.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.2% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Niah Ford | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 5.1% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 21.1% | 16.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 23.6% | 18.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.