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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+3.04vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+5.27vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.30vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.48vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+2.10vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+0.75vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.26vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86+1.38vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.92-3.11vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74-0.13vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.51+2.90vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.58-1.49vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-4.70vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-4.68vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-2.07vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.92-6.67vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.35-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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7.27Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.3Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.48Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.1Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.87Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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13.9Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.51Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.3Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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12.93Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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14.34Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 21.3% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 5.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 19.4% | 30.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 17.0% |
| Haley Powell | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 19.4% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.